荷乙亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1683	52.8%	+33.76	+2.0%	63.54	612	99.9%
4	840	51.9%	+3.05	+0.4%	42.48	287	100.0%
5	412	49.7%	-16.57	-4.0%	31.90	313	100.0%
6	193	51.1%	-4.19	-2.2%	15.93	121	100.0%
7	94	51.7%	+1.85	+2.0%	6.38	15	100.0%
8	46	43.2%	-6.61	-14.4%	9.50	29	100.0%
9	19	36.8%	-5.37	-28.3%	5.37	19	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1683	47.2%	-130.97	-7.8%	153.37	1080	99.9%
4	840	48.1%	-49.00	-5.8%	74.63	546	100.0%
5	412	50.3%	-7.08	-1.7%	21.62	153	100.0%
6	193	48.9%	-6.74	-3.5%	11.59	111	100.0%
7	94	48.3%	-6.50	-6.9%	10.45	90	100.0%
8	46	56.8%	+3.81	+8.3%	4.50	5	100.0%
9	19	63.2%	+3.75	+19.8%	3.00	3	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+11.1%	+15.0%	+7.4%	+9.1%	-5.9%	+7.9%	-20.5%	+0.6%	-5.3%	-9.0%	+2.0%
4	+22.9%	+6.9%	+1.2%	+0.3%	+7.3%	+3.7%	-35.4%	+0.5%	-20.4%	-6.7%	+0.4%
5	+21.0%	-10.3%	+7.2%	-2.8%	-25.2%	-17.2%	-44.0%	+7.7%	-10.6%	-2.0%	-4.0%
6	+21.4%	-15.7%	+0.5%	+9.6%	-28.5%	-13.1%	+1.7%	-0.2%	+5.5%	-10.7%	-2.2%
7	+22.1%	-37.5%	+12.8%	-1.4%	-17.8%	-11.9%	+0.0%	+20.9%	+33.6%	-32.8%	+2.0%
8	-26.6%	-63.2%	-8.1%	+0.0%	-100.0%	+2.7%	—	+33.1%	-2.3%	+0.5%	-14.4%
9	-53.0%	-100.0%	+22.2%	—	—	-100.0%	—	+12.8%	-100.0%	-100.0%	-28.3%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-15.9%	-21.1%	-12.5%	-14.6%	+0.3%	-14.2%	+14.3%	-6.5%	-0.9%	+2.7%	-7.8%
4	-27.8%	-13.5%	-5.4%	-4.7%	-13.2%	-10.2%	+31.0%	-6.1%	+15.0%	+0.6%	-5.8%
5	-26.3%	+3.4%	-11.2%	-0.6%	+20.6%	+10.0%	+37.9%	-14.7%	+4.7%	-4.8%	-1.7%
6	-27.7%	+7.7%	-3.8%	-13.0%	+27.4%	+5.8%	-1.0%	-7.0%	-16.0%	+6.0%	-3.5%
7	-28.7%	+29.5%	-15.7%	+0.4%	+20.4%	+4.9%	+0.0%	-28.2%	-41.2%	+32.5%	-6.9%
8	+18.5%	+56.4%	+3.3%	+0.0%	+99.0%	-6.2%	—	-43.6%	-2.0%	-2.0%	+8.3%
9	+45.2%	+80.0%	-29.1%	—	—	+87.5%	—	-21.0%	+94.0%	+96.0%	+19.8%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	176	216	211	127	158	186	146	157	156	150	1683
4	93	125	117	64	72	99	53	79	70	68	840
5	56	67	60	30	38	51	14	39	26	31	412
6	32	29	36	12	14	21	3	21	10	15	193
7	19	13	20	5	5	9	1	11	5	6	94
8	11	5	11	1	2	4	—	7	3	2	46
9	4	1	5	—	—	2	—	5	1	1	19

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-06 ~ 2017-05-06，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	176	57.8%	+19.52	+11.1%	7.77	32	100.0%
4	93	64.0%	+21.29	+22.9%	6.12	8	100.0%
5	56	63.5%	+11.78	+21.0%	2.12	4	100.0%
6	32	64.5%	+6.85	+21.4%	4.00	5	100.0%
7	19	63.2%	+4.19	+22.1%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	11	36.4%	-2.92	-26.6%	3.44	10	100.0%
9	4	25.0%	-2.12	-53.0%	2.12	4	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	176	42.2%	-27.95	-15.9%	32.62	165	100.0%
4	93	36.0%	-25.82	-27.8%	26.71	90	100.0%
5	56	36.5%	-14.71	-26.3%	15.59	55	100.0%
6	32	35.5%	-8.87	-27.7%	9.75	31	100.0%
7	19	36.8%	-5.46	-28.7%	6.34	18	100.0%
8	11	63.6%	+2.04	+18.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	4	75.0%	+1.81	+45.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-19 ~ 2018-04-29，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	216	60.8%	+32.41	+15.0%	4.50	5	100.0%
4	125	56.5%	+8.57	+6.9%	8.47	30	100.0%
5	67	48.5%	-6.92	-10.3%	11.18	51	100.0%
6	29	44.8%	-4.56	-15.7%	5.40	24	100.0%
7	13	30.8%	-4.88	-37.5%	4.88	13	100.0%
8	5	20.0%	-3.16	-63.2%	3.16	5	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	216	39.2%	-45.56	-21.1%	47.10	208	100.0%
4	125	43.5%	-16.84	-13.5%	17.75	124	100.0%
5	67	51.5%	+2.29	+3.4%	4.36	23	100.0%
6	29	55.2%	+2.22	+7.7%	4.51	14	100.0%
7	13	69.2%	+3.83	+29.5%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	5	80.0%	+2.82	+56.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.80	+80.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-18 ~ 2019-05-04，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	211	54.6%	+15.54	+7.4%	8.97	11	100.0%
4	117	51.8%	+1.42	+1.2%	8.42	30	100.0%
5	60	54.2%	+4.32	+7.2%	5.20	10	100.0%
6	36	52.8%	+0.17	+0.5%	3.68	14	100.0%
7	20	55.0%	+2.55	+12.8%	3.03	12	100.0%
8	11	45.5%	-0.90	-8.1%	5.00	6	100.0%
9	5	60.0%	+1.11	+22.2%	1.50	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	211	45.4%	-26.34	-12.5%	26.59	207	100.0%
4	117	48.2%	-6.34	-5.4%	11.83	73	100.0%
5	60	45.8%	-6.71	-11.2%	11.08	26	100.0%
6	36	47.2%	-1.37	-3.8%	6.56	18	100.0%
7	20	45.0%	-3.14	-15.7%	6.50	7	100.0%
8	11	54.5%	+0.36	+3.3%	4.50	5	100.0%
9	5	40.0%	-1.46	-29.1%	3.00	3	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-10 ~ 2020-03-10，共 580 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	127	55.4%	+11.59	+9.1%	3.37	13	100.0%
4	64	50.0%	+0.16	+0.3%	6.52	22	100.0%
5	30	48.0%	-0.85	-2.8%	3.74	9	100.0%
6	12	55.6%	+1.15	+9.6%	1.58	5	100.0%
7	5	50.0%	-0.07	-1.4%	1.00	3	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	127	44.6%	-18.57	-14.6%	21.35	120	100.0%
4	64	50.0%	-2.98	-4.7%	9.44	38	100.0%
5	30	52.0%	-0.17	-0.6%	5.67	22	100.0%
6	12	44.4%	-1.56	-13.0%	4.04	9	100.0%
7	5	50.0%	+0.02	+0.4%	1.00	2	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-29 ~ 2021-05-23，共 772 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	158	48.6%	-9.29	-5.9%	12.84	146	100.0%
4	72	55.9%	+5.26	+7.3%	5.30	15	100.0%
5	38	37.8%	-9.58	-25.2%	11.41	36	100.0%
6	14	35.7%	-3.99	-28.5%	6.12	8	100.0%
7	5	40.0%	-0.89	-17.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	158	51.4%	+0.47	+0.3%	10.05	63	100.0%
4	72	44.1%	-9.50	-13.2%	13.92	57	100.0%
5	38	62.2%	+7.82	+20.6%	3.05	7	100.0%
6	14	64.3%	+3.83	+27.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	5	60.0%	+1.02	+20.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+1.98	+99.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-07 ~ 2022-05-29，共 784 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	186	55.9%	+14.76	+7.9%	10.34	30	100.0%
4	99	53.7%	+3.62	+3.7%	8.15	10	100.0%
5	51	42.9%	-8.79	-17.2%	12.06	35	100.0%
6	21	45.0%	-2.76	-13.1%	6.31	14	100.0%
7	9	44.4%	-1.07	-11.9%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	4	50.0%	+0.11	+2.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	186	44.1%	-26.44	-14.2%	31.34	144	100.0%
4	99	46.3%	-10.08	-10.2%	13.98	75	100.0%
5	51	57.1%	+5.09	+10.0%	7.00	9	100.0%
6	21	55.0%	+1.21	+5.8%	4.17	7	100.0%
7	9	55.6%	+0.44	+4.9%	2.12	6	100.0%
8	4	50.0%	-0.25	-6.2%	1.08	3	100.0%
9	2	100.0%	+1.75	+87.5%	0.00	0	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-06 ~ 2023-06-11，共 784 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	146	39.8%	-29.87	-20.5%	34.46	130	99.3%
4	53	31.2%	-18.74	-35.4%	18.74	53	100.0%
5	14	25.0%	-6.16	-44.0%	7.08	12	100.0%
6	3	50.0%	+0.05	+1.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	146	59.4%	+20.91	+14.3%	8.05	13	99.3%
4	53	68.8%	+16.44	+31.0%	3.21	8	100.0%
5	14	75.0%	+5.31	+37.9%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	3	50.0%	-0.03	-1.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-12 ~ 2024-06-02，共 784 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	157	52.0%	+0.90	+0.6%	12.57	58	100.0%
4	79	52.0%	+0.36	+0.5%	8.15	19	100.0%
5	39	56.8%	+3.02	+7.7%	5.03	7	100.0%
6	21	52.4%	-0.05	-0.2%	5.00	5	100.0%
7	11	63.6%	+2.30	+20.9%	1.23	5	100.0%
8	7	71.4%	+2.32	+33.1%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	5	60.0%	+0.64	+12.8%	1.15	3	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	157	48.0%	-10.20	-6.5%	23.02	120	100.0%
4	79	48.0%	-4.79	-6.1%	14.29	29	100.0%
5	39	43.2%	-5.74	-14.7%	11.46	24	100.0%
6	21	47.6%	-1.46	-7.0%	8.18	14	100.0%
7	11	36.4%	-3.10	-28.2%	4.18	10	100.0%
8	7	28.6%	-3.05	-43.6%	4.13	6	100.0%
9	5	40.0%	-1.05	-21.0%	2.13	4	100.0%

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-10 ~ 2025-06-02，共 784 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	156	49.0%	-8.33	-5.3%	14.99	126	100.0%
4	70	40.6%	-14.31	-20.4%	15.27	69	100.0%
5	26	45.5%	-2.76	-10.6%	5.42	18	100.0%
6	10	55.6%	+0.55	+5.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	5	75.0%	+1.68	+33.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	50.0%	-0.07	-2.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	156	51.0%	-1.38	-0.9%	9.96	93	100.0%
4	70	59.4%	+10.49	+15.0%	4.67	9	100.0%
5	26	54.5%	+1.23	+4.7%	5.00	6	100.0%
6	10	44.4%	-1.60	-16.0%	3.36	8	100.0%
7	5	25.0%	-2.06	-41.2%	3.00	4	100.0%
8	3	50.0%	-0.06	-2.0%	1.00	2	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.94	+94.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-09 ~ 2026-05-23，共 784 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	47.3%	-13.46	-9.0%	20.28	107	100.0%
4	68	48.5%	-4.57	-6.7%	7.14	30	100.0%
5	31	51.6%	-0.63	-2.0%	3.97	19	100.0%
6	15	46.7%	-1.61	-10.7%	3.40	9	100.0%
7	6	33.3%	-1.97	-32.8%	4.00	4	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	+0.01	+0.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	52.7%	+4.10	+2.7%	8.44	31	100.0%
4	68	51.5%	+0.43	+0.6%	6.22	20	100.0%
5	31	48.4%	-1.49	-4.8%	3.42	13	100.0%
6	15	53.3%	+0.90	+6.0%	3.04	5	100.0%
7	6	66.7%	+1.95	+32.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.04	-2.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.96	+96.0%	0.00	0	100.0%