意甲亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1771	53.1%	+66.62	+3.8%	38.55	339	100.0%
4	895	56.3%	+84.34	+9.4%	11.09	45	100.0%
5	476	61.2%	+86.20	+18.1%	6.70	9	100.0%
6	273	61.4%	+51.38	+18.8%	9.50	11	100.0%
7	159	62.7%	+31.90	+20.1%	5.53	9	100.0%
8	94	56.8%	+9.81	+10.4%	7.05	11	100.0%
9	50	63.3%	+11.69	+23.4%	3.00	4	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1771	46.9%	-146.39	-8.3%	168.99	1427	100.0%
4	895	43.7%	-121.67	-13.6%	130.42	831	100.0%
5	476	38.8%	-106.68	-22.4%	108.59	438	100.0%
6	273	38.6%	-63.48	-23.3%	70.96	257	100.0%
7	159	37.3%	-38.17	-24.0%	45.05	129	100.0%
8	94	43.2%	-13.55	-14.4%	20.58	66	100.0%
9	50	36.7%	-13.38	-26.8%	18.52	44	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+10.8%	+14.5%	+1.8%	+5.9%	+7.7%	-4.3%	+9.0%	+0.6%	-2.2%	-15.6%	+3.8%
4	+10.6%	+22.9%	+1.6%	+8.2%	+14.9%	+4.2%	+9.8%	+14.5%	+2.4%	-12.5%	+9.4%
5	+8.7%	+28.9%	+19.5%	+5.7%	+17.9%	+22.5%	+26.4%	+23.4%	-2.2%	+9.2%	+18.1%
6	-2.0%	+32.9%	+24.9%	+4.9%	+15.1%	+40.4%	+29.4%	+20.2%	-9.8%	-25.8%	+18.8%
7	-25.7%	+41.2%	+1.1%	+9.0%	+26.7%	+48.5%	+21.3%	+16.6%	-33.8%	+49.0%	+20.1%
8	-41.2%	+40.0%	-59.0%	-9.3%	+29.8%	+28.7%	-8.8%	+18.7%	-50.0%	+0.0%	+10.4%
9	-100.0%	+49.9%	-100.0%	+29.0%	+37.8%	+39.6%	+12.4%	-0.6%	-100.0%	—	+23.4%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-14.0%	-18.2%	-6.0%	-10.3%	-11.7%	+0.4%	-14.5%	-4.9%	-4.3%	+9.6%	-8.3%
4	-14.0%	-26.9%	-6.0%	-12.6%	-18.5%	-8.1%	-15.2%	-18.5%	-7.3%	+8.8%	-13.6%
5	-14.2%	-32.9%	-22.6%	-8.7%	-22.1%	-26.7%	-32.0%	-28.5%	-2.7%	-11.0%	-22.4%
6	-3.0%	-37.0%	-26.8%	-7.9%	-21.0%	-44.1%	-34.5%	-24.9%	+3.4%	+20.9%	-23.3%
7	+22.1%	-45.5%	-2.7%	-15.5%	-33.1%	-52.9%	-24.9%	-18.6%	+32.7%	-50.0%	-24.0%
8	+38.0%	-43.5%	+60.4%	+6.3%	-36.6%	-35.8%	+5.2%	-23.0%	+52.5%	+0.0%	-14.4%
9	+109.0%	-53.1%	+109.0%	-24.2%	-46.5%	-47.4%	-15.2%	-1.6%	+105.0%	—	-26.8%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	180	231	174	166	186	173	208	160	149	144	1771
4	96	132	85	87	99	78	114	80	68	56	895
5	51	84	41	47	55	39	61	46	30	22	476
6	27	55	22	24	32	22	39	29	13	10	273
7	14	36	13	12	19	15	25	17	6	2	159
8	6	25	6	6	13	11	15	9	2	1	94
9	2	17	1	2	8	7	7	5	1	—	50

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-20 ~ 2017-05-29，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	180	56.1%	+19.35	+10.8%	10.91	52	100.0%
4	96	56.5%	+10.15	+10.6%	4.73	24	100.0%
5	51	56.2%	+4.45	+8.7%	4.83	12	100.0%
6	27	51.9%	-0.55	-2.0%	4.30	12	100.0%
7	14	42.9%	-3.60	-25.7%	5.53	9	100.0%
8	6	33.3%	-2.47	-41.2%	3.23	5	100.0%
9	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	180	43.9%	-25.13	-14.0%	32.86	166	100.0%
4	96	43.5%	-13.42	-14.0%	17.29	82	100.0%
5	51	43.8%	-7.26	-14.2%	11.28	44	100.0%
6	27	48.1%	-0.81	-3.0%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	14	57.1%	+3.10	+22.1%	2.37	5	100.0%
8	6	66.7%	+2.28	+38.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	100.0%	+2.18	+109.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-19 ~ 2018-05-21，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	231	59.0%	+33.47	+14.5%	14.48	32	100.0%
4	132	63.8%	+30.22	+22.9%	7.17	15	100.0%
5	84	66.3%	+24.23	+28.9%	6.70	9	100.0%
6	55	66.7%	+18.11	+32.9%	4.00	5	100.0%
7	36	71.4%	+14.83	+41.2%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	25	70.8%	+9.99	+40.0%	2.50	3	100.0%
9	17	76.5%	+8.48	+49.9%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	231	41.0%	-41.98	-18.2%	42.81	222	100.0%
4	132	36.2%	-35.46	-26.9%	38.83	127	100.0%
5	84	33.7%	-27.61	-32.9%	29.02	82	100.0%
6	55	33.3%	-20.32	-37.0%	21.74	53	100.0%
7	36	28.6%	-16.39	-45.5%	17.34	35	100.0%
8	25	29.2%	-10.88	-43.5%	11.82	24	100.0%
9	17	23.5%	-9.03	-53.1%	9.96	16	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-18 ~ 2019-05-27，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	174	51.8%	+3.19	+1.8%	15.88	56	100.0%
4	85	51.2%	+1.40	+1.6%	6.63	9	100.0%
5	41	60.0%	+7.98	+19.5%	3.30	8	100.0%
6	22	63.6%	+5.48	+24.9%	1.60	3	100.0%
7	13	53.8%	+0.15	+1.1%	2.73	6	100.0%
8	6	16.7%	-3.54	-59.0%	3.54	6	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	174	48.2%	-10.45	-6.0%	21.22	110	100.0%
4	85	48.8%	-5.06	-6.0%	12.11	58	100.0%
5	41	40.0%	-9.27	-22.6%	9.73	39	100.0%
6	22	36.4%	-5.88	-26.8%	5.88	22	100.0%
7	13	46.2%	-0.35	-2.7%	2.48	4	100.0%
8	6	83.3%	+3.62	+60.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.09	+109.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-24 ~ 2020-07-30，共 740 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	53.8%	+9.74	+5.9%	8.03	30	100.0%
4	87	55.4%	+7.14	+8.2%	8.71	31	100.0%
5	47	52.3%	+2.68	+5.7%	4.09	7	100.0%
6	24	52.2%	+1.18	+4.9%	2.94	5	100.0%
7	12	54.5%	+1.08	+9.0%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	6	40.0%	-0.56	-9.3%	2.50	4	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	+0.58	+29.0%	0.50	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	46.2%	-17.12	-10.3%	20.52	122	100.0%
4	87	44.6%	-10.96	-12.6%	12.80	83	100.0%
5	47	47.7%	-4.09	-8.7%	6.42	30	100.0%
6	24	47.8%	-1.89	-7.9%	3.76	18	100.0%
7	12	45.5%	-1.85	-15.5%	2.14	7	100.0%
8	6	60.0%	+0.38	+6.3%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.48	-24.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-01 ~ 2021-05-24，共 780 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	186	55.7%	+14.28	+7.7%	8.35	62	100.0%
4	99	60.2%	+14.74	+14.9%	4.53	7	100.0%
5	55	62.7%	+9.85	+17.9%	2.53	5	100.0%
6	32	61.3%	+4.84	+15.1%	3.50	4	100.0%
7	19	68.4%	+5.07	+26.7%	3.67	7	100.0%
8	13	69.2%	+3.88	+29.8%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	8	75.0%	+3.02	+37.8%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	186	44.3%	-21.72	-11.7%	23.95	183	100.0%
4	99	39.8%	-18.31	-18.5%	19.64	93	100.0%
5	55	37.3%	-12.17	-22.1%	12.73	54	100.0%
6	32	38.7%	-6.71	-21.0%	6.89	26	100.0%
7	19	31.6%	-6.29	-33.1%	6.29	19	100.0%
8	13	30.8%	-4.76	-36.6%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	8	25.0%	-3.72	-46.5%	4.58	7	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-22 ~ 2022-05-23，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	173	47.6%	-7.43	-4.3%	12.66	152	100.0%
4	78	52.0%	+3.30	+4.2%	7.23	20	100.0%
5	39	62.2%	+8.79	+22.5%	3.50	4	100.0%
6	22	71.4%	+8.89	+40.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	15	78.6%	+7.27	+48.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	11	70.0%	+3.16	+28.7%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	7	71.4%	+2.77	+39.6%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	173	52.4%	+0.66	+0.4%	6.92	50	100.0%
4	78	48.0%	-6.31	-8.1%	12.88	36	100.0%
5	39	37.8%	-10.41	-26.7%	11.60	34	100.0%
6	22	28.6%	-9.70	-44.1%	11.43	20	100.0%
7	15	21.4%	-7.94	-52.9%	8.80	14	100.0%
8	11	30.0%	-3.94	-35.8%	5.00	6	100.0%
9	7	28.6%	-3.32	-47.4%	4.18	6	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-14 ~ 2023-06-12，共 762 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	208	56.7%	+18.75	+9.0%	8.60	31	100.0%
4	114	56.9%	+11.22	+9.8%	8.91	29	100.0%
5	61	67.2%	+16.09	+26.4%	3.00	5	100.0%
6	39	69.4%	+11.46	+29.4%	2.05	4	100.0%
7	25	62.5%	+5.34	+21.3%	2.19	4	100.0%
8	15	46.7%	-1.32	-8.8%	6.05	10	100.0%
9	7	57.1%	+0.87	+12.4%	1.96	4	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	208	43.3%	-30.20	-14.5%	31.32	207	100.0%
4	114	43.1%	-17.29	-15.2%	18.40	111	100.0%
5	61	32.8%	-19.54	-32.0%	20.54	60	100.0%
6	39	30.6%	-13.46	-34.5%	15.31	37	100.0%
7	25	37.5%	-6.22	-24.9%	8.07	23	100.0%
8	15	53.3%	+0.78	+5.2%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	7	42.9%	-1.06	-15.2%	3.00	3	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-20 ~ 2024-06-02，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	160	52.0%	+0.96	+0.6%	12.87	46	100.0%
4	80	60.3%	+11.61	+14.5%	5.00	7	100.0%
5	46	65.1%	+10.78	+23.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	29	63.0%	+5.85	+20.2%	2.19	4	100.0%
7	17	60.0%	+2.82	+16.6%	4.00	5	100.0%
8	9	62.5%	+1.68	+18.7%	1.17	3	100.0%
9	5	50.0%	-0.03	-0.6%	2.00	3	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	160	48.0%	-7.90	-4.9%	20.58	103	100.0%
4	80	39.7%	-14.79	-18.5%	17.29	61	100.0%
5	46	34.9%	-13.11	-28.5%	14.30	42	100.0%
6	29	37.0%	-7.23	-24.9%	9.28	27	100.0%
7	17	40.0%	-3.17	-18.6%	6.00	7	100.0%
8	9	37.5%	-2.07	-23.0%	4.06	7	100.0%
9	5	50.0%	-0.08	-1.6%	2.00	2	100.0%

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-18 ~ 2025-05-26，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	149	50.4%	-3.26	-2.2%	9.39	86	100.0%
4	68	52.5%	+1.60	+2.4%	5.30	13	100.0%
5	30	50.0%	-0.67	-2.2%	4.17	12	100.0%
6	13	45.5%	-1.28	-9.8%	5.00	5	100.0%
7	6	25.0%	-2.03	-33.8%	2.03	6	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-1.00	-50.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	149	49.6%	-6.37	-4.3%	14.68	92	100.0%
4	68	47.5%	-4.98	-7.3%	8.58	55	100.0%
5	30	50.0%	-0.81	-2.7%	7.06	12	100.0%
6	13	54.5%	+0.44	+3.4%	5.00	7	100.0%
7	6	75.0%	+1.96	+32.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+1.05	+52.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.05	+105.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-24 ~ 2026-05-25，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	42.3%	-22.42	-15.6%	26.12	140	100.0%
4	56	42.9%	-7.02	-12.5%	11.09	45	100.0%
5	22	55.6%	+2.01	+9.2%	3.95	12	100.0%
6	10	28.6%	-2.58	-25.8%	4.50	6	100.0%
7	2	100.0%	+0.98	+49.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	57.7%	+13.82	+9.6%	4.00	4	100.0%
4	56	57.1%	+4.92	+8.8%	3.96	10	100.0%
5	22	44.4%	-2.42	-11.0%	4.00	5	100.0%
6	10	71.4%	+2.09	+20.9%	2.00	3	100.0%
7	2	0.0%	-1.00	-50.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—