意乙亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1492	49.8%	-30.71	-2.1%	40.53	662	99.7%
4	676	49.4%	-12.38	-1.8%	19.06	276	99.6%
5	306	49.1%	-3.19	-1.0%	14.77	47	99.3%
6	140	50.0%	-1.21	-0.9%	9.45	65	100.0%
7	65	52.5%	+3.35	+5.2%	4.64	7	100.0%
8	31	46.4%	-1.72	-5.5%	6.08	8	100.0%
9	13	50.0%	-0.09	-0.7%	3.00	4	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1492	50.0%	-39.89	-2.7%	69.49	1237	99.7%
4	676	50.3%	-19.65	-2.9%	41.42	441	99.6%
5	306	50.5%	-11.05	-3.6%	33.49	215	99.3%
6	140	50.0%	-5.17	-3.7%	15.83	67	100.0%
7	65	47.5%	-5.93	-9.1%	11.87	53	100.0%
8	31	53.6%	+0.27	+0.9%	6.08	8	100.0%
9	13	50.0%	-0.38	-2.9%	4.08	6	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-0.1%	+1.7%	-5.9%	-2.0%	+1.9%	-6.4%	+6.7%	+1.7%	-9.5%	-13.7%	-2.1%
4	-9.6%	-4.5%	+5.3%	+2.8%	+3.3%	+2.0%	+1.2%	+4.7%	-13.1%	-14.1%	-1.8%
5	-31.7%	+3.6%	+6.6%	-8.4%	-4.3%	+26.7%	+16.8%	+5.1%	-23.8%	-8.7%	-1.0%
6	-22.1%	-27.5%	+11.8%	-12.5%	-19.9%	+21.8%	+30.3%	-2.3%	-13.1%	-6.9%	-0.9%
7	-15.3%	-53.5%	+36.4%	-0.1%	+17.2%	-8.3%	+47.0%	+11.4%	+3.5%	-83.3%	+5.2%
8	-50.0%	-100.0%	+65.3%	-31.7%	-32.0%	-68.0%	+52.7%	-33.3%	+3.5%	—	-5.5%
9	—	—	+52.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%	+41.0%	—	-100.0%	—	-0.7%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-3.3%	-5.4%	+2.7%	-3.0%	-10.4%	+2.2%	-11.0%	-6.6%	+3.4%	+9.6%	-2.7%
4	+6.0%	+1.7%	-8.4%	-8.6%	-13.0%	-5.0%	-4.9%	-9.1%	+7.7%	+8.9%	-2.9%
5	+29.5%	-7.9%	-8.8%	-0.6%	-2.5%	-30.4%	-19.1%	-10.9%	+20.3%	+4.4%	-3.6%
6	+22.4%	+22.4%	-12.5%	+7.4%	+12.3%	-24.9%	-33.0%	-5.7%	+7.4%	+0.4%	-3.7%
7	+10.2%	+40.8%	-39.4%	-6.0%	-19.2%	+6.9%	-50.2%	-15.5%	-2.5%	+71.2%	-9.1%
8	+48.5%	+76.0%	-66.7%	+23.7%	+28.3%	+63.3%	-56.0%	+28.7%	-8.0%	—	+0.9%
9	—	—	-50.0%	+80.0%	+94.0%	+108.0%	-43.4%	—	+84.0%	—	-2.9%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	176	172	125	152	164	135	145	167	119	137	1492
4	81	78	51	72	80	61	71	78	52	52	676
5	34	32	22	37	37	32	34	39	21	18	306
6	9	13	11	16	16	21	19	19	9	7	140
7	3	4	5	7	6	13	12	8	4	3	65
8	1	1	3	3	3	6	9	3	2	—	31
9	—	—	2	1	1	1	7	—	1	—	13

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-27 ~ 2017-05-19，共 924 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	176	50.0%	-0.24	-0.1%	11.57	100	100.0%
4	81	43.6%	-7.74	-9.6%	10.82	47	100.0%
5	34	28.1%	-10.79	-31.7%	11.14	21	100.0%
6	9	33.3%	-1.99	-22.1%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	3	33.3%	-0.46	-15.3%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	-0.50	-50.0%	0.50	1	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	176	50.0%	-5.77	-3.3%	14.06	96	100.0%
4	81	56.4%	+4.83	+6.0%	4.58	32	100.0%
5	34	71.9%	+10.02	+29.5%	3.02	5	100.0%
6	9	66.7%	+2.02	+22.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	3	66.7%	+0.30	+10.2%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	+0.48	+48.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-26 ~ 2018-05-19，共 924 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	172	50.9%	+2.85	+1.7%	13.88	66	99.4%
4	78	47.3%	-3.52	-4.5%	12.02	69	98.7%
5	32	50.0%	+1.15	+3.6%	5.92	11	96.9%
6	13	36.4%	-3.58	-27.5%	3.58	13	100.0%
7	4	25.0%	-2.14	-53.5%	2.14	4	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	172	49.1%	-9.29	-5.4%	14.88	87	99.4%
4	78	52.7%	+1.36	+1.7%	6.66	14	98.7%
5	32	50.0%	-2.53	-7.9%	5.99	19	96.9%
6	13	63.6%	+2.91	+22.4%	2.24	5	100.0%
7	4	75.0%	+1.63	+40.8%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	+0.76	+76.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-25 ~ 2019-05-11，共 684 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	125	46.8%	-7.33	-5.9%	12.85	74	99.2%
4	51	51.2%	+2.71	+5.3%	3.80	11	100.0%
5	22	52.6%	+1.46	+6.6%	2.69	6	100.0%
6	11	55.6%	+1.30	+11.8%	1.50	3	100.0%
7	5	75.0%	+1.82	+36.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	100.0%	+1.96	+65.3%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	2	100.0%	+1.04	+52.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	125	53.2%	+3.41	+2.7%	9.06	65	99.2%
4	51	48.8%	-4.29	-8.4%	6.19	29	100.0%
5	22	47.4%	-1.93	-8.8%	4.58	13	100.0%
6	11	44.4%	-1.38	-12.5%	3.50	4	100.0%
7	5	25.0%	-1.97	-39.4%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	3	0.0%	-2.00	-66.7%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	2	0.0%	-1.00	-50.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-24 ~ 2020-07-28，共 740 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	152	51.1%	-3.10	-2.0%	11.34	65	99.3%
4	72	52.9%	+1.98	+2.8%	5.11	20	98.6%
5	37	47.1%	-3.11	-8.4%	6.51	22	97.3%
6	16	46.7%	-2.00	-12.5%	5.09	7	100.0%
7	7	50.0%	-0.01	-0.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-0.95	-31.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	152	48.2%	-4.49	-3.0%	12.10	58	99.3%
4	72	45.6%	-6.17	-8.6%	8.27	61	98.6%
5	37	50.0%	-0.21	-0.6%	4.64	14	97.3%
6	16	53.3%	+1.19	+7.4%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	7	50.0%	-0.42	-6.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.71	+23.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.80	+80.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-01 ~ 2021-05-28，共 816 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	164	52.7%	+3.19	+1.9%	7.38	21	99.4%
4	80	53.5%	+2.63	+3.3%	5.92	42	98.8%
5	37	48.6%	-1.60	-4.3%	6.13	18	100.0%
6	16	40.0%	-3.18	-19.9%	6.34	13	100.0%
7	6	60.0%	+1.03	+17.2%	1.09	4	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-0.96	-32.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	164	46.7%	-17.05	-10.4%	24.54	130	99.4%
4	80	45.1%	-10.43	-13.0%	11.29	75	98.8%
5	37	51.4%	-0.93	-2.5%	4.25	8	100.0%
6	16	60.0%	+1.97	+12.3%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	6	40.0%	-1.15	-19.2%	2.06	5	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.85	+28.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.94	+94.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-21 ~ 2022-05-30，共 780 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	135	47.6%	-8.61	-6.4%	20.09	102	100.0%
4	61	51.7%	+1.19	+2.0%	8.47	25	100.0%
5	32	64.5%	+8.55	+26.7%	3.00	3	100.0%
6	21	61.9%	+4.58	+21.8%	2.03	4	100.0%
7	13	46.2%	-1.08	-8.3%	2.25	12	100.0%
8	6	16.7%	-4.08	-68.0%	4.08	6	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	135	52.4%	+2.92	+2.2%	12.69	33	100.0%
4	61	48.3%	-3.02	-5.0%	10.79	36	100.0%
5	32	35.5%	-9.74	-30.4%	11.60	30	100.0%
6	21	38.1%	-5.23	-24.9%	7.09	19	100.0%
7	13	53.8%	+0.90	+6.9%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	6	83.3%	+3.80	+63.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.08	+108.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-13 ~ 2023-06-12，共 780 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	145	54.9%	+9.76	+6.7%	6.68	38	100.0%
4	71	51.5%	+0.82	+1.2%	6.90	13	100.0%
5	34	59.4%	+5.72	+16.8%	4.00	4	100.0%
6	19	66.7%	+5.76	+30.3%	2.12	5	100.0%
7	12	75.0%	+5.64	+47.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	9	77.8%	+4.74	+52.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	7	71.4%	+2.87	+41.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	145	45.1%	-15.95	-11.0%	22.64	122	100.0%
4	71	48.5%	-3.49	-4.9%	11.63	34	100.0%
5	34	40.6%	-6.51	-19.1%	11.38	27	100.0%
6	19	33.3%	-6.27	-33.0%	9.08	11	100.0%
7	12	25.0%	-6.02	-50.2%	8.08	10	100.0%
8	9	22.2%	-5.04	-56.0%	6.08	8	100.0%
9	7	28.6%	-3.04	-43.4%	4.08	6	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-19 ~ 2024-06-03，共 780 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	51.9%	+2.78	+1.7%	8.37	33	100.0%
4	78	53.4%	+3.70	+4.7%	7.00	8	100.0%
5	39	54.3%	+1.97	+5.1%	4.23	9	100.0%
6	19	50.0%	-0.44	-2.3%	6.08	9	100.0%
7	8	60.0%	+0.91	+11.4%	1.04	4	100.0%
8	3	0.0%	-1.00	-33.3%	1.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	48.1%	-10.94	-6.6%	14.12	83	100.0%
4	78	46.6%	-7.08	-9.1%	12.19	45	100.0%
5	39	45.7%	-4.26	-10.9%	8.18	34	100.0%
6	19	50.0%	-1.08	-5.7%	4.10	7	100.0%
7	8	40.0%	-1.24	-15.5%	1.24	7	100.0%
8	3	100.0%	+0.86	+28.7%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-17 ~ 2025-06-23，共 780 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	119	46.4%	-11.26	-9.5%	15.70	88	100.0%
4	52	43.8%	-6.81	-13.1%	9.30	27	100.0%
5	21	38.1%	-4.99	-23.8%	7.00	7	100.0%
6	9	44.4%	-1.18	-13.1%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	+0.14	+3.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	+0.07	+3.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	119	53.6%	+4.07	+3.4%	8.69	59	100.0%
4	52	56.2%	+4.00	+7.7%	8.36	12	100.0%
5	21	61.9%	+4.26	+20.3%	4.52	10	100.0%
6	9	55.6%	+0.67	+7.4%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	-0.10	-2.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.16	-8.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.84	+84.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-23 ~ 2026-05-25，共 778 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	137	42.7%	-18.74	-13.7%	22.70	126	100.0%
4	52	41.9%	-7.35	-14.1%	9.28	47	100.0%
5	18	43.8%	-1.56	-8.7%	3.59	15	100.0%
6	7	42.9%	-0.48	-6.9%	1.50	2	100.0%
7	3	0.0%	-2.50	-83.3%	2.50	3	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	137	57.3%	+13.21	+9.6%	4.10	9	100.0%
4	52	58.1%	+4.64	+8.9%	3.57	9	100.0%
5	18	56.2%	+0.78	+4.4%	2.57	9	100.0%
6	7	57.1%	+0.02	+0.4%	1.10	3	100.0%
7	3	100.0%	+2.13	+71.2%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—