西乙亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1816	49.9%	-41.47	-2.3%	72.41	989	99.9%
4	838	49.2%	-21.34	-2.5%	47.95	635	99.9%
5	382	51.1%	+3.65	+1.0%	25.38	273	100.0%
6	184	53.6%	+10.87	+5.9%	12.37	52	100.0%
7	90	53.2%	+5.83	+6.5%	8.78	44	100.0%
8	42	47.2%	-1.06	-2.5%	7.22	21	100.0%
9	17	28.6%	-5.01	-29.5%	7.00	8	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1816	50.0%	-36.84	-2.0%	57.30	1595	99.9%
4	838	50.7%	-16.20	-1.9%	29.90	125	99.9%
5	382	48.9%	-20.95	-5.5%	30.55	78	100.0%
6	184	46.4%	-19.07	-10.4%	23.09	159	100.0%
7	90	46.8%	-10.20	-11.3%	14.43	80	100.0%
8	42	52.8%	-0.21	-0.5%	7.00	13	100.0%
9	17	71.4%	+4.42	+26.0%	1.58	3	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-7.6%	+6.1%	-4.6%	+3.7%	-13.0%	-7.4%	-5.6%	-2.1%	+5.9%	-0.3%	-2.3%
4	+0.7%	+15.8%	-10.5%	+3.7%	-2.6%	-11.3%	-9.8%	-3.6%	-2.0%	-8.1%	-2.5%
5	+13.8%	+32.4%	-21.8%	+8.6%	-8.5%	-14.2%	-11.9%	-12.4%	+5.8%	-5.8%	+1.0%
6	+7.9%	+36.1%	-16.1%	+14.4%	-25.6%	-21.0%	+11.5%	-38.7%	+27.5%	-14.0%	+5.9%
7	+26.6%	+32.7%	-50.0%	-0.9%	-62.5%	-29.0%	+11.6%	-50.0%	+26.4%	-40.9%	+6.5%
8	+14.8%	+12.6%	+0.0%	-18.1%	—	+0.0%	-24.7%	—	-0.2%	-100.0%	-2.5%
9	-50.0%	-16.5%	+0.0%	-100.0%	—	—	-100.0%	—	-4.7%	—	-29.5%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+4.2%	-11.3%	-0.1%	-6.2%	+9.4%	+3.1%	+1.6%	-2.4%	-9.0%	-6.7%	-2.0%
4	-3.4%	-20.1%	+6.1%	-7.1%	-2.2%	+5.9%	+5.3%	-0.6%	-1.5%	+0.9%	-1.9%
5	-16.8%	-37.3%	+17.5%	-13.1%	+4.0%	+6.5%	+7.0%	+7.8%	-7.6%	-0.0%	-5.5%
6	-10.8%	-41.0%	+11.3%	-21.5%	+23.2%	+16.7%	-16.6%	+33.5%	-30.0%	+8.4%	-10.4%
7	-29.2%	-38.0%	+46.5%	-4.6%	+59.0%	+19.2%	-16.2%	+41.5%	-29.9%	+34.6%	-11.3%
8	-14.0%	-17.6%	+0.0%	+15.8%	—	+0.0%	+13.3%	—	+0.4%	+97.0%	-0.5%
9	+42.0%	+16.6%	+0.0%	+88.5%	—	—	+92.0%	—	-0.3%	—	+26.0%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	173	195	181	142	166	163	183	203	196	214	1816
4	77	98	80	67	65	72	81	94	101	103	838
5	35	56	30	33	29	30	35	40	49	45	382
6	19	37	11	17	12	12	15	14	27	20	184
7	9	25	4	10	4	4	7	2	17	8	90
8	4	16	1	5	—	1	3	—	10	2	42
9	1	8	1	2	—	—	1	—	4	—	17

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-20 ~ 2017-06-11，共 924 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	173	46.5%	-13.18	-7.6%	18.69	143	100.0%
4	77	50.0%	+0.52	+0.7%	7.16	59	100.0%
5	35	57.1%	+4.82	+13.8%	4.00	5	100.0%
6	19	52.6%	+1.51	+7.9%	2.62	9	100.0%
7	9	55.6%	+2.39	+26.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	4	50.0%	+0.59	+14.8%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-0.50	-50.0%	0.50	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	173	53.5%	+7.29	+4.2%	7.39	45	100.0%
4	77	50.0%	-2.60	-3.4%	5.83	16	100.0%
5	35	42.9%	-5.89	-16.8%	7.45	27	100.0%
6	19	47.4%	-2.05	-10.8%	3.30	11	100.0%
7	9	44.4%	-2.62	-29.2%	3.08	6	100.0%
8	4	50.0%	-0.56	-14.0%	1.58	3	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.42	+42.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-19 ~ 2018-06-03，共 924 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	195	54.4%	+11.82	+6.1%	12.67	43	100.0%
4	98	59.1%	+15.50	+15.8%	5.28	19	100.0%
5	56	68.5%	+18.14	+32.4%	5.00	5	100.0%
6	37	71.4%	+13.34	+36.1%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	25	69.6%	+8.17	+32.7%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	16	57.1%	+2.01	+12.6%	3.12	6	100.0%
9	8	37.5%	-1.32	-16.5%	3.00	3	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	195	45.6%	-22.00	-11.3%	38.73	142	100.0%
4	98	40.9%	-19.73	-20.1%	29.33	84	100.0%
5	56	31.5%	-20.91	-37.3%	24.21	48	100.0%
6	37	28.6%	-15.16	-41.0%	18.32	33	100.0%
7	25	30.4%	-9.50	-38.0%	11.16	23	100.0%
8	16	42.9%	-2.82	-17.6%	5.42	10	100.0%
9	8	62.5%	+1.32	+16.6%	1.58	3	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-18 ~ 2019-06-10，共 882 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	181	48.5%	-8.28	-4.6%	18.46	140	100.0%
4	80	43.1%	-8.43	-10.5%	12.18	46	100.0%
5	30	37.0%	-6.55	-21.8%	7.05	21	100.0%
6	11	37.5%	-1.77	-16.1%	2.86	9	100.0%
7	4	0.0%	-2.00	-50.0%	2.00	3	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	181	51.5%	-0.14	-0.1%	11.08	41	100.0%
4	80	56.9%	+4.88	+6.1%	7.00	7	100.0%
5	30	63.0%	+5.25	+17.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
6	11	62.5%	+1.24	+11.3%	1.16	4	100.0%
7	4	100.0%	+1.86	+46.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-17 ~ 2020-07-21，共 922 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	142	53.2%	+5.21	+3.7%	11.16	36	100.0%
4	67	52.5%	+2.49	+3.7%	8.54	34	100.0%
5	33	56.2%	+2.83	+8.6%	6.50	8	100.0%
6	17	58.8%	+2.45	+14.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	10	50.0%	-0.09	-0.9%	2.50	3	100.0%
8	5	40.0%	-0.90	-18.1%	1.50	2	100.0%
9	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	142	46.8%	-8.84	-6.2%	11.50	62	100.0%
4	67	47.5%	-4.72	-7.1%	8.86	17	100.0%
5	33	43.8%	-4.33	-13.1%	6.36	13	100.0%
6	17	41.2%	-3.65	-21.5%	5.71	12	100.0%
7	10	50.0%	-0.46	-4.6%	2.50	3	100.0%
8	5	60.0%	+0.79	+15.8%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	100.0%	+1.77	+88.5%	0.00	0	100.0%

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-08 ~ 2021-06-21，共 950 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	43.1%	-21.57	-13.0%	23.23	129	100.0%
4	65	49.2%	-1.67	-2.6%	8.76	26	100.0%
5	29	44.4%	-2.46	-8.5%	6.50	7	100.0%
6	12	36.4%	-3.07	-25.6%	4.62	8	100.0%
7	4	0.0%	-2.50	-62.5%	2.50	4	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	56.9%	+15.56	+9.4%	8.06	32	100.0%
4	65	50.8%	-1.44	-2.2%	7.54	20	100.0%
5	29	55.6%	+1.15	+4.0%	4.56	7	100.0%
6	12	63.6%	+2.78	+23.2%	2.00	3	100.0%
7	4	100.0%	+2.36	+59.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-14 ~ 2022-06-20，共 936 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	163	46.5%	-12.00	-7.4%	18.25	153	100.0%
4	72	44.1%	-8.12	-11.3%	12.91	48	100.0%
5	30	42.9%	-4.25	-14.2%	6.17	19	100.0%
6	12	40.0%	-2.52	-21.0%	4.00	5	100.0%
7	4	33.3%	-1.16	-29.0%	1.16	4	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	163	53.5%	+5.09	+3.1%	9.56	81	100.0%
4	72	55.9%	+4.21	+5.9%	9.21	45	100.0%
5	30	57.1%	+1.96	+6.5%	5.58	8	100.0%
6	12	60.0%	+2.00	+16.7%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	4	66.7%	+0.77	+19.2%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	+0.00	+0.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-13 ~ 2023-06-18，共 936 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	183	49.4%	-10.26	-5.6%	14.95	157	100.0%
4	81	46.7%	-7.94	-9.8%	9.22	72	100.0%
5	35	44.1%	-4.16	-11.9%	6.79	19	100.0%
6	15	50.0%	+1.72	+11.5%	1.50	2	100.0%
7	7	50.0%	+0.81	+11.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-0.74	-24.7%	1.50	2	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	183	50.6%	+3.00	+1.6%	7.95	83	100.0%
4	81	53.3%	+4.30	+5.3%	5.12	11	100.0%
5	35	55.9%	+2.45	+7.0%	4.65	12	100.0%
6	15	50.0%	-2.50	-16.6%	3.28	11	100.0%
7	7	50.0%	-1.14	-16.2%	2.08	5	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.40	+13.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.92	+92.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-12 ~ 2024-06-24，共 936 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	203	49.2%	-4.30	-2.1%	22.89	129	100.0%
4	94	47.7%	-3.37	-3.6%	12.38	39	100.0%
5	40	41.7%	-4.98	-12.4%	6.80	38	100.0%
6	14	18.2%	-5.42	-38.7%	7.50	10	100.0%
7	2	0.0%	-1.00	-50.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	203	50.8%	-4.81	-2.4%	18.21	59	100.0%
4	94	52.3%	-0.55	-0.6%	7.81	44	100.0%
5	40	58.3%	+3.12	+7.8%	3.00	4	100.0%
6	14	81.8%	+4.69	+33.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	2	100.0%	+0.83	+41.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-16 ~ 2025-06-22，共 936 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	196	54.6%	+11.65	+5.9%	8.74	27	100.0%
4	101	49.5%	-2.03	-2.0%	7.29	45	100.0%
5	49	54.3%	+2.86	+5.8%	6.12	10	100.0%
6	27	68.0%	+7.42	+27.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	17	66.7%	+4.49	+26.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	10	50.0%	-0.02	-0.2%	2.46	5	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.19	-4.7%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	196	45.4%	-17.71	-9.0%	22.50	124	100.0%
4	101	50.5%	-1.51	-1.5%	11.71	35	100.0%
5	49	45.7%	-3.72	-7.6%	6.70	34	100.0%
6	27	32.0%	-8.11	-30.0%	8.23	19	100.0%
7	17	33.3%	-5.07	-29.9%	5.71	12	100.0%
8	10	50.0%	+0.04	+0.4%	2.50	4	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.01	-0.3%	1.00	1	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-16 ~ 2026-05-25，共 902 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	214	52.0%	-0.56	-0.3%	16.98	78	99.1%
4	103	47.9%	-8.29	-8.1%	14.65	63	99.0%
5	45	48.8%	-2.60	-5.8%	6.12	22	100.0%
6	20	44.4%	-2.80	-14.0%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	8	28.6%	-3.27	-40.9%	4.10	7	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	214	47.0%	-14.28	-6.7%	20.42	169	99.1%
4	103	51.0%	+0.94	+0.9%	8.71	33	99.0%
5	45	51.2%	-0.02	-0.0%	5.68	14	100.0%
6	20	55.6%	+1.68	+8.4%	4.06	8	100.0%
7	8	71.4%	+2.77	+34.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+1.94	+97.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—