荷甲亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1360	54.0%	+76.49	+5.6%	19.14	138	100.0%
4	693	53.1%	+28.75	+4.1%	21.50	267	100.0%
5	347	55.7%	+31.76	+9.2%	7.84	22	100.0%
6	185	58.7%	+28.84	+15.6%	7.91	30	100.0%
7	105	51.5%	+1.64	+1.6%	11.46	29	100.0%
8	52	51.0%	+0.83	+1.6%	6.27	16	100.0%
9	26	61.5%	+5.64	+21.7%	3.01	7	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1360	46.0%	-138.22	-10.2%	140.57	1237	100.0%
4	693	46.9%	-58.44	-8.4%	66.98	631	100.0%
5	347	44.3%	-47.99	-13.8%	53.11	324	100.0%
6	185	41.3%	-35.68	-19.3%	40.55	137	100.0%
7	105	48.5%	-6.14	-5.9%	20.41	64	100.0%
8	52	49.0%	-1.93	-3.7%	10.26	33	100.0%
9	26	38.5%	-6.46	-24.8%	9.80	22	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+17.0%	+16.7%	-0.6%	+4.9%	-5.8%	+12.2%	+1.4%	-1.4%	+11.3%	+1.3%	+5.6%
4	+15.7%	+9.8%	+5.1%	+8.9%	+0.4%	+16.1%	-6.0%	-7.4%	+8.0%	-9.3%	+4.1%
5	+21.9%	+3.8%	+21.2%	+8.4%	+13.5%	+21.2%	+5.5%	-1.7%	+1.4%	-11.9%	+9.2%
6	+15.2%	+14.4%	+40.7%	-23.8%	+40.1%	+38.6%	+30.5%	-11.8%	-7.1%	-4.9%	+15.6%
7	-7.2%	-30.0%	+31.6%	-36.6%	+52.3%	+28.5%	+9.4%	-70.7%	-42.1%	-17.6%	+1.6%
8	+5.0%	—	+19.0%	-83.3%	+34.9%	+25.5%	-2.6%	-100.0%	-100.0%	-35.3%	+1.6%
9	-22.3%	—	+43.7%	—	+56.8%	+19.6%	-0.2%	—	—	-100.0%	+21.7%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-21.8%	-21.1%	-3.4%	-9.1%	+1.2%	-16.4%	-7.7%	-3.1%	-14.8%	-6.1%	-10.2%
4	-21.6%	-13.3%	-8.5%	-11.5%	-5.0%	-20.1%	-0.3%	+3.6%	-10.8%	+3.8%	-8.4%
5	-27.7%	-9.2%	-25.0%	-10.7%	-18.5%	-26.0%	-11.8%	-1.9%	-3.6%	+4.1%	-13.8%
6	-21.4%	-16.2%	-43.4%	+21.6%	-43.8%	-42.6%	-35.0%	+10.1%	+5.1%	-3.7%	-19.3%
7	+1.5%	+26.1%	-35.1%	+32.3%	-54.0%	-32.5%	-16.2%	+68.0%	+40.6%	+10.1%	-5.9%
8	-11.6%	—	-21.1%	+83.7%	-36.7%	-25.5%	-1.8%	+108.0%	+107.0%	+29.7%	-3.7%
9	+12.2%	—	-46.8%	—	-60.2%	-20.2%	-1.0%	—	—	+98.0%	-24.8%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	136	144	151	109	125	126	148	150	133	138	1360
4	76	81	75	57	57	64	76	71	69	67	693
5	43	39	41	31	28	33	37	32	36	27	347
6	25	17	25	17	16	19	21	16	17	12	185
7	14	7	18	7	11	13	14	7	7	7	105
8	6	—	13	3	8	8	8	1	2	3	52
9	3	—	8	—	5	5	4	—	—	1	26

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-06 ~ 2017-05-14，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	136	59.5%	+23.07	+17.0%	5.49	8	100.0%
4	76	59.5%	+11.96	+15.7%	7.34	23	100.0%
5	43	61.9%	+9.43	+21.9%	4.84	13	100.0%
6	25	58.3%	+3.80	+15.2%	2.24	6	100.0%
7	14	46.2%	-1.01	-7.2%	4.00	4	100.0%
8	6	50.0%	+0.30	+5.0%	1.50	2	100.0%
9	3	33.3%	-0.67	-22.3%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	136	40.5%	-29.62	-21.8%	33.67	125	100.0%
4	76	40.5%	-16.44	-21.6%	21.65	54	100.0%
5	43	38.1%	-11.91	-27.7%	14.93	29	100.0%
6	25	41.7%	-5.34	-21.4%	7.45	21	100.0%
7	14	53.8%	+0.22	+1.5%	3.72	10	100.0%
8	6	50.0%	-0.70	-11.6%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	3	66.7%	+0.36	+12.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-12 ~ 2018-05-06，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	60.4%	+24.07	+16.7%	6.11	12	100.0%
4	81	55.8%	+7.95	+9.8%	7.31	55	100.0%
5	39	52.8%	+1.48	+3.8%	6.93	26	100.0%
6	17	60.0%	+2.45	+14.4%	3.40	11	100.0%
7	7	33.3%	-2.10	-30.0%	4.00	4	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	39.6%	-30.41	-21.1%	30.42	144	100.0%
4	81	44.2%	-10.77	-13.3%	11.22	80	100.0%
5	39	47.2%	-3.58	-9.2%	5.06	7	100.0%
6	17	40.0%	-2.76	-16.2%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	7	66.7%	+1.83	+26.1%	2.00	3	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-11 ~ 2019-05-16，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	151	50.3%	-0.89	-0.6%	15.40	62	100.0%
4	75	53.5%	+3.82	+5.1%	7.42	24	100.0%
5	41	61.5%	+8.68	+21.2%	4.03	8	100.0%
6	25	70.8%	+10.17	+40.7%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	18	66.7%	+5.68	+31.6%	2.10	4	100.0%
8	13	61.5%	+2.46	+19.0%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	8	75.0%	+3.50	+43.7%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	151	49.7%	-5.12	-3.4%	15.29	65	100.0%
4	75	46.5%	-6.39	-8.5%	12.58	37	100.0%
5	41	38.5%	-10.26	-25.0%	12.99	32	100.0%
6	25	29.2%	-10.84	-43.4%	12.82	23	100.0%
7	18	33.3%	-6.32	-35.1%	8.73	11	100.0%
8	13	38.5%	-2.74	-21.1%	6.73	9	100.0%
9	8	25.0%	-3.74	-46.8%	4.73	7	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-03 ~ 2020-03-08，共 464 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	109	51.9%	+5.34	+4.9%	5.54	17	100.0%
4	57	53.6%	+5.09	+8.9%	3.56	6	100.0%
5	31	53.3%	+2.60	+8.4%	3.09	9	100.0%
6	17	35.3%	-4.05	-23.8%	4.49	13	100.0%
7	7	28.6%	-2.56	-36.6%	3.07	5	100.0%
8	3	0.0%	-2.50	-83.3%	2.50	3	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	109	48.1%	-9.88	-9.1%	16.11	85	100.0%
4	57	46.4%	-6.56	-11.5%	12.13	40	100.0%
5	31	46.7%	-3.32	-10.7%	6.43	21	100.0%
6	17	64.7%	+3.68	+21.6%	2.11	4	100.0%
7	7	71.4%	+2.26	+32.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	100.0%	+2.51	+83.7%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2020-21 赛季 (2020-09-13 ~ 2021-05-23，共 618 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	125	48.3%	-7.23	-5.8%	13.20	71	100.0%
4	57	51.9%	+0.20	+0.4%	9.25	22	100.0%
5	28	59.3%	+3.79	+13.5%	5.22	10	100.0%
6	16	73.3%	+6.42	+40.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	11	80.0%	+5.75	+52.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	8	71.4%	+2.79	+34.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	5	80.0%	+2.84	+56.8%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	125	51.7%	+1.45	+1.2%	12.27	33	100.0%
4	57	48.1%	-2.87	-5.0%	12.01	21	100.0%
5	28	40.7%	-5.17	-18.5%	10.01	14	100.0%
6	16	26.7%	-7.00	-43.8%	9.05	12	100.0%
7	11	20.0%	-5.94	-54.0%	7.00	8	100.0%
8	8	28.6%	-2.94	-36.7%	4.00	5	100.0%
9	5	20.0%	-3.01	-60.2%	4.00	4	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-14 ~ 2022-05-29，共 624 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	58.3%	+15.37	+12.2%	7.27	25	100.0%
4	64	60.7%	+10.30	+16.1%	4.12	11	100.0%
5	33	63.3%	+7.00	+21.2%	3.00	4	100.0%
6	19	72.2%	+7.34	+38.6%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	13	66.7%	+3.70	+28.5%	3.00	4	100.0%
8	8	62.5%	+2.04	+25.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	5	60.0%	+0.98	+19.6%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	41.7%	-20.63	-16.4%	24.47	78	100.0%
4	64	39.3%	-12.86	-20.1%	14.15	49	100.0%
5	33	36.7%	-8.58	-26.0%	10.98	23	100.0%
6	19	27.8%	-8.10	-42.6%	9.01	14	100.0%
7	13	33.3%	-4.23	-32.5%	7.03	9	100.0%
8	8	37.5%	-2.04	-25.5%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	5	40.0%	-1.01	-20.2%	3.00	3	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-06 ~ 2023-06-11，共 624 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	148	52.1%	+2.04	+1.4%	18.67	89	100.0%
4	76	48.0%	-4.58	-6.0%	16.79	43	100.0%
5	37	54.1%	+2.05	+5.5%	3.39	21	100.0%
6	21	66.7%	+6.41	+30.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	14	57.1%	+1.31	+9.4%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	8	50.0%	-0.21	-2.6%	2.19	4	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.01	-0.2%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	148	47.9%	-11.36	-7.7%	13.32	146	100.0%
4	76	52.0%	-0.24	-0.3%	8.36	34	100.0%
5	37	45.9%	-4.36	-11.8%	6.99	32	100.0%
6	21	33.3%	-7.35	-35.0%	10.18	18	100.0%
7	14	42.9%	-2.27	-16.2%	4.18	12	100.0%
8	8	50.0%	-0.14	-1.8%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.04	-1.0%	2.00	2	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-12 ~ 2024-05-26，共 618 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	50.3%	-2.10	-1.4%	16.81	114	100.0%
4	71	47.1%	-5.27	-7.4%	9.74	33	100.0%
5	32	50.0%	-0.56	-1.7%	3.13	7	100.0%
6	16	43.8%	-1.89	-11.8%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	7	14.3%	-4.95	-70.7%	4.95	7	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	49.7%	-4.60	-3.1%	16.79	36	100.0%
4	71	52.9%	+2.58	+3.6%	5.95	10	100.0%
5	32	50.0%	-0.61	-1.9%	5.48	15	100.0%
6	16	56.2%	+1.62	+10.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	7	85.7%	+4.76	+68.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	+1.08	+108.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-10 ~ 2025-05-26，共 618 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	133	57.1%	+15.06	+11.3%	5.11	8	100.0%
4	69	55.4%	+5.51	+8.0%	6.52	22	100.0%
5	36	51.4%	+0.50	+1.4%	4.73	27	100.0%
6	17	47.1%	-1.21	-7.1%	5.10	7	100.0%
7	7	28.6%	-2.95	-42.1%	4.08	6	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	133	42.9%	-19.64	-14.8%	21.67	119	100.0%
4	69	44.6%	-7.43	-10.8%	10.04	42	100.0%
5	36	48.6%	-1.31	-3.6%	4.16	14	100.0%
6	17	52.9%	+0.87	+5.1%	2.16	6	100.0%
7	7	71.4%	+2.84	+40.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+2.14	+107.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-09 ~ 2026-05-24，共 618 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	138	51.9%	+1.75	+1.3%	15.76	25	100.0%
4	67	46.0%	-6.23	-9.3%	15.48	56	100.0%
5	27	46.2%	-3.20	-11.9%	7.84	22	100.0%
6	12	50.0%	-0.59	-4.9%	3.01	5	100.0%
7	7	42.9%	-1.23	-17.6%	3.12	5	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-1.06	-35.3%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	138	48.1%	-8.39	-6.1%	13.59	94	100.0%
4	67	54.0%	+2.54	+3.8%	6.00	7	100.0%
5	27	53.8%	+1.12	+4.1%	4.00	4	100.0%
6	12	50.0%	-0.45	-3.7%	2.09	4	100.0%
7	7	57.1%	+0.71	+10.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.89	+29.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.98	+98.0%	0.00	0	100.0%