英超亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1764	55.1%	+126.40	+7.2%	12.26	66	99.9%
4	909	56.2%	+78.20	+8.6%	11.91	57	99.9%
5	481	59.8%	+69.88	+14.5%	7.90	23	100.0%
6	270	62.3%	+51.61	+19.1%	6.50	7	100.0%
7	159	66.7%	+39.26	+24.7%	5.93	16	100.0%
8	98	71.7%	+33.84	+34.5%	4.53	9	100.0%
9	66	74.6%	+26.91	+40.8%	3.50	5	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1764	44.9%	-206.32	-11.7%	213.99	1694	99.9%
4	909	43.8%	-121.38	-13.4%	129.84	854	99.9%
5	481	40.2%	-92.78	-19.3%	104.13	450	100.0%
6	270	37.7%	-63.72	-23.6%	72.52	260	100.0%
7	159	33.3%	-46.70	-29.4%	49.47	156	100.0%
8	98	28.3%	-38.12	-38.9%	40.36	89	100.0%
9	66	25.4%	-30.32	-45.9%	31.32	65	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+11.0%	+0.3%	+11.7%	-2.3%	+11.3%	+12.7%	+12.3%	+7.7%	+2.9%	+5.0%	+7.2%
4	+9.6%	-5.3%	+11.4%	+14.0%	+24.6%	+10.6%	+12.0%	+15.6%	-1.4%	+0.1%	+8.6%
5	+6.1%	-0.8%	+26.4%	+24.1%	+28.0%	+18.1%	+18.3%	+28.8%	-1.4%	-1.6%	+14.5%
6	-0.7%	+2.5%	+24.3%	+34.0%	+45.1%	+20.6%	+25.3%	+24.6%	+4.0%	+0.7%	+19.1%
7	+19.9%	-1.6%	+7.6%	+35.0%	+62.1%	+36.7%	+21.6%	+33.0%	+5.7%	+5.8%	+24.7%
8	+38.6%	-0.1%	-17.9%	+64.6%	+67.2%	+48.9%	+18.4%	+33.9%	+10.4%	-4.8%	+34.5%
9	+26.3%	+14.1%	-100.0%	+74.0%	+67.2%	+48.2%	-50.0%	-3.5%	+56.7%	+10.2%	+40.8%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-15.5%	-4.1%	-15.4%	-3.1%	-16.3%	-16.2%	-17.5%	-12.6%	-8.1%	-9.6%	-11.7%
4	-14.5%	+1.1%	-14.7%	-19.7%	-29.2%	-14.5%	-17.3%	-20.9%	-4.3%	-5.2%	-13.4%
5	-11.1%	-2.5%	-29.4%	-31.0%	-32.0%	-21.5%	-23.9%	-34.7%	-4.3%	-4.3%	-19.3%
6	-4.0%	-3.7%	-28.1%	-40.8%	-49.7%	-23.8%	-32.1%	-29.8%	-8.7%	-5.8%	-23.6%
7	-25.3%	+1.9%	-11.7%	-41.4%	-67.3%	-39.7%	-28.2%	-38.7%	-9.3%	-14.9%	-29.4%
8	-45.5%	-1.1%	+15.2%	-68.8%	-73.4%	-50.7%	-24.5%	-38.7%	-13.6%	-3.6%	-38.9%
9	-35.7%	-14.7%	+100.0%	-78.9%	-73.1%	-50.6%	+42.8%	-5.3%	-61.7%	-16.7%	-45.9%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	179	217	198	177	143	190	177	154	167	162	1764
4	95	114	104	87	76	102	93	74	85	79	909
5	51	58	55	51	45	56	47	36	44	38	481
6	26	31	34	33	28	32	24	21	23	18	270
7	13	16	20	23	20	19	14	11	14	9	159
8	8	8	9	16	17	13	7	7	8	5	98
9	6	4	2	14	15	10	3	4	5	3	66

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-13 ~ 2017-05-21，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	179	57.1%	+19.74	+11.0%	5.33	22	100.0%
4	95	57.9%	+9.11	+9.6%	4.47	7	100.0%
5	51	54.9%	+3.11	+6.1%	6.15	14	100.0%
6	26	50.0%	-0.18	-0.7%	3.47	6	100.0%
7	13	61.5%	+2.59	+19.9%	2.50	3	100.0%
8	8	75.0%	+3.09	+38.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	6	66.7%	+1.58	+26.3%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	179	42.9%	-27.83	-15.5%	28.75	178	100.0%
4	95	42.1%	-13.78	-14.5%	14.20	77	100.0%
5	51	45.1%	-5.65	-11.1%	10.38	36	100.0%
6	26	50.0%	-1.03	-4.0%	5.51	10	100.0%
7	13	38.5%	-3.29	-25.3%	5.50	6	100.0%
8	8	25.0%	-3.64	-45.5%	4.66	7	100.0%
9	6	33.3%	-2.14	-35.7%	4.00	4	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-12 ~ 2018-05-13，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	217	51.9%	+0.68	+0.3%	12.25	66	99.5%
4	114	49.6%	-6.07	-5.3%	11.01	20	99.1%
5	58	52.6%	-0.44	-0.8%	7.84	34	100.0%
6	31	53.3%	+0.77	+2.5%	5.48	7	100.0%
7	16	53.3%	-0.25	-1.6%	3.44	10	100.0%
8	8	57.1%	-0.01	-0.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	4	66.7%	+0.56	+14.1%	1.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	217	48.1%	-8.80	-4.1%	18.81	72	99.5%
4	114	50.4%	+1.22	+1.1%	13.84	34	99.1%
5	58	47.4%	-1.45	-2.5%	9.40	16	100.0%
6	31	46.7%	-1.14	-3.7%	6.87	11	100.0%
7	16	46.7%	+0.31	+1.9%	3.00	4	100.0%
8	8	42.9%	-0.09	-1.1%	3.00	5	100.0%
9	4	33.3%	-0.59	-14.7%	1.50	2	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-11 ~ 2019-05-12，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	198	56.3%	+23.24	+11.7%	4.90	19	100.0%
4	104	55.4%	+11.89	+11.4%	4.21	18	100.0%
5	55	65.4%	+14.49	+26.4%	2.37	6	100.0%
6	34	65.6%	+8.25	+24.3%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	20	55.6%	+1.52	+7.6%	2.50	6	100.0%
8	9	37.5%	-1.61	-17.9%	2.53	7	100.0%
9	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	198	43.7%	-30.40	-15.4%	30.89	195	100.0%
4	104	44.6%	-15.34	-14.7%	17.98	88	100.0%
5	55	34.6%	-16.16	-29.4%	17.05	52	100.0%
6	34	34.4%	-9.57	-28.1%	9.57	34	100.0%
7	20	44.4%	-2.33	-11.7%	4.58	14	100.0%
8	9	62.5%	+1.37	+15.2%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	100.0%	+2.00	+100.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-10 ~ 2020-07-26，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	177	50.0%	-4.09	-2.3%	10.25	120	100.0%
4	87	60.5%	+12.16	+14.0%	7.39	30	100.0%
5	51	66.7%	+12.27	+24.1%	4.00	6	100.0%
6	33	71.0%	+11.23	+34.0%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	23	71.4%	+8.05	+35.0%	2.00	3	100.0%
8	16	86.7%	+10.34	+64.6%	1.50	2	100.0%
9	14	92.3%	+10.36	+74.0%	0.50	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	177	50.0%	-5.48	-3.1%	15.21	98	100.0%
4	87	39.5%	-17.16	-19.7%	23.17	64	100.0%
5	51	33.3%	-15.82	-31.0%	17.40	37	100.0%
6	33	29.0%	-13.45	-40.8%	14.28	32	100.0%
7	23	28.6%	-9.53	-41.4%	11.22	20	100.0%
8	16	13.3%	-11.01	-68.8%	11.01	15	100.0%
9	14	7.7%	-11.05	-78.9%	11.05	13	100.0%

2020-21 赛季 (2020-09-12 ~ 2021-05-23，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	143	58.1%	+16.09	+11.3%	9.91	29	100.0%
4	76	65.3%	+18.72	+24.6%	3.46	5	100.0%
5	45	66.7%	+12.60	+28.0%	3.46	5	100.0%
6	28	76.9%	+12.63	+45.1%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	20	89.5%	+12.41	+62.1%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	17	88.2%	+11.42	+67.2%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	15	86.7%	+10.08	+67.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	143	41.9%	-23.32	-16.3%	28.10	104	100.0%
4	76	34.7%	-22.15	-29.2%	24.11	60	100.0%
5	45	33.3%	-14.40	-32.0%	17.36	40	100.0%
6	28	23.1%	-13.90	-49.7%	16.02	26	100.0%
7	20	10.5%	-13.47	-67.3%	14.51	19	100.0%
8	17	11.8%	-12.47	-73.4%	13.51	16	100.0%
9	15	13.3%	-10.97	-73.1%	12.01	14	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-14 ~ 2022-05-22，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	190	58.2%	+24.09	+12.7%	6.73	17	100.0%
4	102	56.7%	+10.79	+10.6%	5.67	23	100.0%
5	56	60.4%	+10.12	+18.1%	3.50	4	100.0%
6	32	61.3%	+6.60	+20.6%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	19	72.2%	+6.96	+36.7%	1.17	3	100.0%
8	13	76.9%	+6.35	+48.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	10	80.0%	+4.82	+48.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	190	41.8%	-30.88	-16.2%	32.82	186	100.0%
4	102	43.3%	-14.77	-14.5%	21.33	76	100.0%
5	56	39.6%	-12.04	-21.5%	16.54	51	100.0%
6	32	38.7%	-7.62	-23.8%	9.02	30	100.0%
7	19	27.8%	-7.54	-39.7%	8.45	18	100.0%
8	13	23.1%	-6.59	-50.7%	7.97	11	100.0%
9	10	20.0%	-5.06	-50.6%	5.97	9	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-06 ~ 2023-05-28，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	177	58.6%	+21.73	+12.3%	6.02	16	100.0%
4	93	57.5%	+11.18	+12.0%	3.09	6	100.0%
5	47	63.2%	+8.59	+18.3%	3.62	9	100.0%
6	24	66.7%	+6.07	+25.3%	2.63	5	100.0%
7	14	63.6%	+3.02	+21.6%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	7	60.0%	+1.29	+18.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	3	0.0%	-1.50	-50.0%	1.50	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	177	41.4%	-31.04	-17.5%	31.96	159	100.0%
4	93	42.5%	-16.09	-17.3%	16.91	92	100.0%
5	47	36.8%	-11.25	-23.9%	12.95	43	100.0%
6	24	33.3%	-7.70	-32.1%	8.54	23	100.0%
7	14	36.4%	-3.94	-28.2%	4.79	12	100.0%
8	7	40.0%	-1.71	-24.5%	1.71	6	100.0%
9	3	100.0%	+1.29	+42.8%	0.00	0	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-12 ~ 2024-05-19，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	154	55.6%	+11.93	+7.7%	8.43	18	100.0%
4	74	59.7%	+11.54	+15.6%	8.33	24	100.0%
5	36	68.6%	+10.36	+28.8%	3.36	9	100.0%
6	21	66.7%	+5.17	+24.6%	4.09	6	100.0%
7	11	72.7%	+3.62	+33.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	7	71.4%	+2.37	+33.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.14	-3.5%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	154	44.4%	-19.43	-12.6%	22.32	146	100.0%
4	74	40.3%	-15.50	-20.9%	15.98	73	100.0%
5	36	31.4%	-12.49	-34.7%	13.41	35	100.0%
6	21	33.3%	-6.26	-29.8%	8.05	11	100.0%
7	11	27.3%	-4.26	-38.7%	4.26	11	100.0%
8	7	28.6%	-2.71	-38.7%	2.71	7	100.0%
9	4	50.0%	-0.21	-5.3%	2.00	2	100.0%

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-17 ~ 2025-05-25，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	52.6%	+4.84	+2.9%	8.31	16	100.0%
4	85	51.2%	-1.20	-1.4%	8.22	12	100.0%
5	44	50.0%	-0.61	-1.4%	5.96	19	100.0%
6	23	54.5%	+0.93	+4.0%	4.17	10	100.0%
7	14	53.8%	+0.80	+5.7%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	8	57.1%	+0.84	+10.4%	2.50	4	100.0%
9	5	80.0%	+2.83	+56.7%	0.50	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	47.4%	-13.53	-8.1%	22.09	148	100.0%
4	85	48.8%	-3.68	-4.3%	11.95	15	100.0%
5	44	50.0%	-1.87	-4.3%	8.41	25	100.0%
6	23	45.5%	-2.00	-8.7%	6.60	14	100.0%
7	14	46.2%	-1.31	-9.3%	5.09	8	100.0%
8	8	42.9%	-1.08	-13.6%	3.50	4	100.0%
9	5	20.0%	-3.08	-61.7%	3.50	4	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-16 ~ 2026-05-24，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	162	54.1%	+8.16	+5.0%	10.82	86	100.0%
4	79	51.4%	+0.10	+0.1%	11.11	28	100.0%
5	38	51.4%	-0.62	-1.6%	7.87	16	100.0%
6	18	52.9%	+0.13	+0.7%	6.50	7	100.0%
7	9	62.5%	+0.52	+5.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	5	60.0%	-0.24	-4.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	3	66.7%	+0.31	+10.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	162	45.9%	-15.62	-9.6%	26.93	82	100.0%
4	79	48.6%	-4.13	-5.2%	15.67	34	100.0%
5	38	48.6%	-1.65	-4.3%	10.22	18	100.0%
6	18	47.1%	-1.05	-5.8%	7.16	11	100.0%
7	9	37.5%	-1.34	-14.9%	3.16	7	100.0%
8	5	40.0%	-0.18	-3.6%	2.00	3	100.0%
9	3	33.3%	-0.50	-16.7%	1.50	2	100.0%