英冠亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	2244	49.8%	-54.90	-2.4%	92.77	1794	100.0%
4	1048	49.3%	-26.37	-2.5%	52.86	918	99.9%
5	479	52.1%	+16.05	+3.4%	18.24	152	99.8%
6	232	47.7%	-10.35	-4.5%	18.01	131	100.0%
7	103	41.0%	-17.88	-17.4%	23.65	87	100.0%
8	40	42.1%	-6.45	-16.1%	9.30	17	100.0%
9	16	43.8%	-2.42	-15.1%	3.26	7	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	2244	50.2%	-53.87	-2.4%	72.89	1286	100.0%
4	1048	50.7%	-19.80	-1.9%	35.94	663	99.9%
5	479	47.9%	-34.84	-7.3%	44.03	308	99.8%
6	232	52.3%	+2.77	+1.2%	9.73	41	100.0%
7	103	59.0%	+14.27	+13.9%	6.24	13	100.0%
8	40	57.9%	+5.28	+13.2%	3.50	4	100.0%
9	16	56.2%	+1.76	+11.0%	2.50	3	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+9.9%	-3.7%	-2.7%	-1.9%	-2.3%	-0.4%	-11.2%	-7.1%	-1.2%	-5.7%	-2.4%
4	+15.1%	-9.5%	-2.7%	-1.9%	+1.1%	+0.7%	-14.2%	-11.5%	+0.6%	-8.7%	-2.5%
5	+12.9%	-6.0%	+17.7%	+0.5%	+20.2%	+9.2%	-21.0%	+8.6%	-7.3%	-12.5%	+3.4%
6	+6.6%	-12.2%	+18.7%	-23.8%	+2.7%	-6.4%	-31.7%	+1.7%	-34.4%	+2.4%	-4.5%
7	+25.9%	-30.4%	-4.9%	-49.8%	-53.2%	-31.5%	+42.5%	-36.8%	-37.0%	-11.6%	-17.4%
8	+12.9%	-66.7%	+20.9%	—	-100.0%	-58.4%	+24.0%	-100.0%	-5.0%	+27.0%	-16.1%
9	-24.2%	—	+13.5%	—	—	-100.0%	-5.0%	—	-100.0%	-8.0%	-15.1%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-13.6%	-1.3%	-2.2%	-2.9%	-1.7%	-4.9%	+5.7%	+2.9%	-4.3%	+0.2%	-2.4%
4	-19.2%	+5.3%	-1.5%	-2.4%	-5.1%	-4.5%	+9.1%	+8.1%	-5.8%	+2.8%	-1.9%
5	-16.0%	+1.1%	-21.3%	-4.0%	-25.3%	-10.6%	+16.3%	-10.0%	+2.5%	+4.9%	-7.3%
6	-8.4%	+7.2%	-22.5%	+21.5%	-5.8%	+5.0%	+26.6%	-1.0%	+28.5%	-9.6%	+1.2%
7	-27.9%	+26.4%	+1.0%	+41.9%	+47.8%	+33.4%	-51.5%	+35.5%	+28.8%	+6.3%	+13.9%
8	-14.0%	+61.3%	-22.7%	—	+100.2%	+59.8%	-35.3%	+93.5%	+3.5%	-38.0%	+13.2%
9	+22.0%	—	-17.0%	—	—	+103.0%	-3.0%	—	+107.0%	-7.0%	+11.0%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	231	236	255	239	207	218	200	203	238	217	2244
4	119	113	116	113	95	112	84	88	107	101	1048
5	64	50	53	52	42	58	32	36	46	46	479
6	33	24	31	20	24	32	11	19	19	19	232
7	16	10	18	5	12	15	4	8	6	9	103
8	9	3	9	—	4	5	3	2	2	3	40
9	4	—	6	—	—	1	2	—	1	2	16

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-06 ~ 2017-05-07，共 1104 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	231	55.7%	+22.96	+9.9%	7.21	26	100.0%
4	119	57.0%	+18.02	+15.1%	4.52	12	100.0%
5	64	54.8%	+8.29	+12.9%	4.73	9	100.0%
6	33	50.0%	+2.19	+6.6%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	16	60.0%	+4.14	+25.9%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	9	50.0%	+1.16	+12.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	4	25.0%	-0.97	-24.2%	1.50	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	231	44.3%	-31.53	-13.6%	34.70	219	100.0%
4	119	43.0%	-22.79	-19.2%	24.59	113	100.0%
5	64	45.2%	-10.27	-16.0%	15.77	45	100.0%
6	33	50.0%	-2.78	-8.4%	6.38	24	100.0%
7	16	40.0%	-4.47	-27.9%	6.24	13	100.0%
8	9	50.0%	-1.26	-14.0%	2.60	7	100.0%
9	4	75.0%	+0.88	+22.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-05 ~ 2018-05-06，共 1104 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	236	49.6%	-8.72	-3.7%	18.04	54	100.0%
4	113	45.8%	-10.77	-9.5%	11.64	22	100.0%
5	50	47.9%	-2.99	-6.0%	6.75	24	100.0%
6	24	45.5%	-2.93	-12.2%	5.28	10	100.0%
7	10	33.3%	-3.04	-30.4%	4.00	4	100.0%
8	3	0.0%	-2.00	-66.7%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	236	50.4%	-2.96	-1.3%	22.23	176	100.0%
4	113	54.2%	+5.95	+5.3%	9.73	22	100.0%
5	50	52.1%	+0.55	+1.1%	5.00	6	100.0%
6	24	54.5%	+1.72	+7.2%	3.67	8	100.0%
7	10	66.7%	+2.64	+26.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	3	100.0%	+1.84	+61.3%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-04 ~ 2019-05-05，共 1104 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	255	49.4%	-6.92	-2.7%	14.69	100	99.6%
4	116	49.1%	-3.11	-2.7%	12.52	42	99.1%
5	53	60.4%	+9.38	+17.7%	4.52	9	98.1%
6	31	61.3%	+5.79	+18.7%	2.19	5	100.0%
7	18	50.0%	-0.89	-4.9%	4.18	8	100.0%
8	9	66.7%	+1.88	+20.9%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	6	66.7%	+0.81	+13.5%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	255	50.6%	-5.62	-2.2%	11.15	108	99.6%
4	116	50.9%	-1.71	-1.5%	14.84	62	99.1%
5	53	39.6%	-11.30	-21.3%	15.65	40	98.1%
6	31	38.7%	-6.97	-22.5%	8.12	25	100.0%
7	18	50.0%	+0.19	+1.0%	3.52	6	100.0%
8	9	33.3%	-2.04	-22.7%	3.50	4	100.0%
9	6	33.3%	-1.02	-17.0%	2.50	3	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-03 ~ 2020-07-31，共 1112 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	239	49.6%	-4.52	-1.9%	12.58	122	100.0%
4	113	48.6%	-2.15	-1.9%	9.87	100	100.0%
5	52	47.8%	+0.29	+0.5%	4.60	44	100.0%
6	20	33.3%	-4.75	-23.8%	6.88	17	100.0%
7	5	20.0%	-2.49	-49.8%	3.50	4	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	239	50.4%	-7.00	-2.9%	14.54	227	100.0%
4	113	51.4%	-2.76	-2.4%	9.03	48	100.0%
5	52	52.2%	-2.07	-4.0%	4.20	32	100.0%
6	20	66.7%	+4.29	+21.5%	2.00	3	100.0%
7	5	80.0%	+2.09	+41.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-05 ~ 2021-05-29，共 1116 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	207	50.0%	-4.85	-2.3%	17.61	84	100.0%
4	95	51.8%	+1.09	+1.1%	15.01	43	100.0%
5	42	62.5%	+8.50	+20.2%	4.33	8	100.0%
6	24	52.2%	+0.64	+2.7%	2.27	12	100.0%
7	12	25.0%	-6.38	-53.2%	6.38	12	100.0%
8	4	0.0%	-4.00	-100.0%	4.00	4	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	207	50.0%	-3.59	-1.7%	15.96	87	100.0%
4	95	48.2%	-4.89	-5.1%	13.23	50	100.0%
5	42	37.5%	-10.63	-25.3%	11.57	41	100.0%
6	24	47.8%	-1.40	-5.8%	4.12	6	100.0%
7	12	75.0%	+5.73	+47.8%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	4	100.0%	+4.01	+100.2%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-07 ~ 2022-07-31，共 1136 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	218	51.2%	-0.82	-0.4%	14.12	98	100.0%
4	112	50.9%	+0.75	+0.7%	9.28	15	100.0%
5	58	54.7%	+5.31	+9.2%	3.13	5	100.0%
6	32	46.7%	-2.05	-6.4%	6.10	17	100.0%
7	15	33.3%	-4.72	-31.5%	6.81	13	100.0%
8	5	20.0%	-2.92	-58.4%	4.00	4	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	218	48.8%	-10.75	-4.9%	23.44	81	100.0%
4	112	49.1%	-4.99	-4.5%	10.87	81	100.0%
5	58	45.3%	-6.15	-10.6%	9.62	43	100.0%
6	32	53.3%	+1.59	+5.0%	2.95	7	100.0%
7	15	66.7%	+5.01	+33.4%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	5	80.0%	+2.99	+59.8%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.03	+103.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-02 ~ 2023-05-27，共 1092 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	200	45.5%	-22.48	-11.2%	27.16	77	100.0%
4	84	43.4%	-11.95	-14.2%	14.59	67	100.0%
5	32	40.0%	-6.72	-21.0%	8.78	26	100.0%
6	11	36.4%	-3.49	-31.7%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	4	75.0%	+1.70	+42.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.72	+24.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.10	-5.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	200	54.5%	+11.48	+5.7%	13.19	58	100.0%
4	84	56.6%	+7.62	+9.1%	4.55	16	100.0%
5	32	60.0%	+5.23	+16.3%	4.16	8	100.0%
6	11	63.6%	+2.93	+26.6%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	4	25.0%	-2.06	-51.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-1.06	-35.3%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.06	-3.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-05 ~ 2024-05-26，共 1114 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	203	47.1%	-14.36	-7.1%	26.60	133	100.0%
4	88	44.6%	-10.16	-11.5%	15.77	69	100.0%
5	36	54.5%	+3.11	+8.6%	5.03	14	100.0%
6	19	50.0%	+0.32	+1.7%	2.97	6	100.0%
7	8	28.6%	-2.94	-36.8%	4.02	7	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	203	52.9%	+5.97	+2.9%	19.33	53	100.0%
4	88	55.4%	+7.12	+8.1%	7.30	14	100.0%
5	36	45.5%	-3.61	-10.0%	6.83	33	100.0%
6	19	50.0%	-0.19	-1.0%	3.00	4	100.0%
7	8	71.4%	+2.84	+35.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+1.87	+93.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-10 ~ 2025-05-24，共 1114 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	238	50.9%	-2.75	-1.2%	23.34	103	100.0%
4	107	52.1%	+0.65	+0.6%	11.24	41	100.0%
5	46	47.6%	-3.35	-7.3%	5.21	16	100.0%
6	19	33.3%	-6.53	-34.4%	7.57	18	100.0%
7	6	33.3%	-2.22	-37.0%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.10	-5.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	238	49.1%	-10.30	-4.3%	14.33	25	100.0%
4	107	47.9%	-6.18	-5.8%	10.82	53	100.0%
5	46	52.4%	+1.16	+2.5%	5.31	17	100.0%
6	19	66.7%	+5.41	+28.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	6	66.7%	+1.73	+28.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	+0.07	+3.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.07	+107.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-09 ~ 2026-05-23，共 1114 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	217	48.3%	-12.43	-5.7%	19.65	88	100.0%
4	101	46.9%	-8.74	-8.7%	15.35	84	100.0%
5	46	45.5%	-5.75	-12.5%	9.28	36	100.0%
6	19	52.6%	+0.46	+2.4%	4.01	8	100.0%
7	9	44.4%	-1.04	-11.6%	4.00	4	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.81	+27.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.16	-8.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	217	51.7%	+0.43	+0.2%	15.39	59	100.0%
4	101	53.1%	+2.83	+2.8%	7.81	19	100.0%
5	46	54.5%	+2.25	+4.9%	4.67	18	100.0%
6	19	47.4%	-1.83	-9.6%	5.00	5	100.0%
7	9	55.6%	+0.57	+6.3%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-1.14	-38.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.14	-7.0%	1.00	1	100.0%