法甲亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1504	54.0%	+104.89	+7.0%	15.70	113	100.0%
4	750	53.6%	+51.88	+6.9%	13.71	68	100.0%
5	377	56.9%	+42.56	+11.3%	8.73	18	100.0%
6	201	58.6%	+29.79	+14.8%	7.15	15	100.0%
7	112	59.3%	+16.68	+14.9%	6.56	10	100.0%
8	64	67.7%	+18.96	+29.6%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	42	75.0%	+18.01	+42.9%	2.68	5	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1504	46.0%	-171.69	-11.4%	186.44	1470	100.0%
4	750	46.4%	-86.98	-11.6%	93.99	694	100.0%
5	377	43.1%	-62.05	-16.5%	64.49	324	100.0%
6	201	41.4%	-40.02	-19.9%	47.37	179	100.0%
7	112	40.7%	-23.62	-21.1%	27.04	104	100.0%
8	64	32.3%	-24.00	-37.5%	26.55	61	100.0%
9	42	25.0%	-21.37	-50.9%	22.22	41	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+1.7%	+13.5%	+1.9%	+3.0%	+4.3%	+9.9%	+17.3%	-1.5%	+5.0%	+9.0%	+7.0%
4	+4.3%	+10.4%	-0.7%	+4.6%	+2.5%	+22.1%	+17.3%	-8.9%	+5.9%	+6.3%	+6.9%
5	+11.6%	-2.3%	+29.9%	+12.1%	+10.4%	+37.5%	+9.9%	+5.0%	+10.5%	+3.1%	+11.3%
6	+21.7%	-7.5%	+39.4%	+3.1%	+28.1%	+31.6%	+26.2%	-5.0%	+24.2%	-2.5%	+14.8%
7	+46.8%	-11.8%	+34.5%	+4.7%	+10.9%	+5.5%	+43.1%	-72.3%	+62.8%	+23.5%	+14.9%
8	+54.6%	-14.7%	+40.2%	+11.4%	+26.7%	+11.5%	+71.5%	-50.0%	+55.1%	+38.0%	+29.6%
9	+95.7%	+53.6%	+44.0%	+24.0%	+41.2%	-42.0%	+64.0%	—	+44.8%	+56.4%	+42.9%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-5.4%	-18.3%	-6.7%	-7.8%	-6.8%	-13.6%	-21.9%	-3.1%	-9.3%	-15.6%	-11.4%
4	-9.2%	-16.0%	-2.7%	-9.8%	-5.8%	-25.8%	-22.1%	+4.9%	-10.4%	-12.6%	-11.6%
5	-16.5%	-4.2%	-35.4%	-18.8%	-14.7%	-40.9%	-14.7%	-8.5%	-15.0%	-8.9%	-16.5%
6	-28.3%	+0.3%	-47.0%	-10.1%	-30.8%	-35.1%	-29.3%	+4.0%	-28.8%	-1.7%	-19.9%
7	-55.0%	+3.3%	-41.9%	-15.3%	-17.8%	-7.8%	-46.4%	+71.1%	-68.8%	-28.9%	-21.1%
8	-64.4%	+4.8%	-49.4%	-23.2%	-37.0%	-15.4%	-76.2%	+47.5%	-58.3%	-46.1%	-37.5%
9	-100.0%	-61.8%	-52.8%	-39.7%	-51.0%	+35.6%	-71.5%	—	-50.0%	-63.0%	-50.9%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	150	222	156	127	166	126	167	124	124	142	1504
4	68	125	78	62	77	60	86	55	61	78	750
5	32	70	35	32	36	33	45	23	29	42	377
6	16	36	23	18	19	20	21	12	14	22	201
7	8	18	17	9	11	13	10	7	8	11	112
8	5	9	12	5	6	7	6	1	6	7	64
9	3	5	9	3	4	4	5	—	4	5	42

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-13 ~ 2017-05-21，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	50.4%	+2.55	+1.7%	9.25	20	100.0%
4	68	53.1%	+2.90	+4.3%	8.57	37	100.0%
5	32	56.7%	+3.73	+11.6%	4.45	15	100.0%
6	16	60.0%	+3.47	+21.7%	3.17	7	100.0%
7	8	75.0%	+3.74	+46.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	5	80.0%	+2.73	+54.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	3	100.0%	+2.87	+95.7%	0.00	0	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	150	49.6%	-8.09	-5.4%	16.92	125	100.0%
4	68	46.9%	-6.24	-9.2%	9.74	18	100.0%
5	32	43.3%	-5.29	-16.5%	5.33	11	100.0%
6	16	40.0%	-4.54	-28.3%	5.26	9	100.0%
7	8	25.0%	-4.40	-55.0%	5.00	5	100.0%
8	5	20.0%	-3.22	-64.4%	4.00	4	100.0%
9	3	0.0%	-3.00	-100.0%	3.00	3	100.0%

2017-18 赛季 (2017-08-05 ~ 2018-05-20，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	222	57.9%	+29.96	+13.5%	10.12	21	100.0%
4	125	55.3%	+12.96	+10.4%	9.37	17	100.0%
5	70	50.0%	-1.58	-2.3%	8.73	18	100.0%
6	36	47.2%	-2.70	-7.5%	6.27	23	100.0%
7	18	44.4%	-2.12	-11.8%	5.80	14	100.0%
8	9	44.4%	-1.32	-14.7%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	5	80.0%	+2.68	+53.6%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	222	42.1%	-40.72	-18.3%	44.32	203	100.0%
4	125	44.7%	-20.06	-16.0%	24.33	117	100.0%
5	70	50.0%	-2.93	-4.2%	8.11	21	100.0%
6	36	52.8%	+0.09	+0.3%	3.76	15	100.0%
7	18	55.6%	+0.60	+3.3%	4.09	6	100.0%
8	9	55.6%	+0.43	+4.8%	4.00	4	100.0%
9	5	20.0%	-3.09	-61.8%	4.00	4	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-11 ~ 2019-05-25，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	156	51.0%	+3.03	+1.9%	9.86	81	100.0%
4	78	47.3%	-0.52	-0.7%	9.18	13	100.0%
5	35	67.6%	+10.47	+29.9%	3.50	6	100.0%
6	23	73.9%	+9.05	+39.4%	2.54	8	100.0%
7	17	70.6%	+5.87	+34.5%	3.00	5	100.0%
8	12	75.0%	+4.82	+40.2%	2.50	3	100.0%
9	9	77.8%	+3.96	+44.0%	1.50	2	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	156	49.0%	-10.41	-6.7%	17.70	145	100.0%
4	78	52.7%	-2.12	-2.7%	13.59	30	100.0%
5	35	32.4%	-12.38	-35.4%	15.12	32	100.0%
6	23	26.1%	-10.80	-47.0%	12.86	19	100.0%
7	17	29.4%	-7.12	-41.9%	10.00	11	100.0%
8	12	25.0%	-5.93	-49.4%	8.00	9	100.0%
9	9	22.2%	-4.75	-52.8%	6.00	7	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-10 ~ 2020-03-09，共 558 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	127	52.1%	+3.81	+3.0%	11.81	33	100.0%
4	62	54.2%	+2.84	+4.6%	6.23	14	100.0%
5	32	58.1%	+3.87	+12.1%	3.19	7	100.0%
6	18	52.9%	+0.55	+3.1%	4.17	6	100.0%
7	9	55.6%	+0.42	+4.7%	2.17	4	100.0%
8	5	60.0%	+0.57	+11.4%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	3	66.7%	+0.72	+24.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	127	47.9%	-9.88	-7.8%	17.61	40	100.0%
4	62	45.8%	-6.07	-9.8%	13.96	20	100.0%
5	32	41.9%	-6.01	-18.8%	9.37	13	100.0%
6	18	47.1%	-1.82	-10.1%	6.46	10	100.0%
7	9	44.4%	-1.38	-15.3%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	5	40.0%	-1.16	-23.2%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	3	33.3%	-1.19	-39.7%	2.00	2	100.0%

2020-21 赛季 (2020-08-22 ~ 2021-05-24，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	51.7%	+7.14	+4.3%	7.02	14	100.0%
4	77	49.3%	+1.93	+2.5%	6.67	10	100.0%
5	36	54.3%	+3.73	+10.4%	3.00	3	100.0%
6	19	61.1%	+5.33	+28.1%	1.50	2	100.0%
7	11	54.5%	+1.20	+10.9%	3.50	4	100.0%
8	6	66.7%	+1.60	+26.7%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	4	75.0%	+1.65	+41.2%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	166	48.3%	-11.34	-6.8%	19.27	128	100.0%
4	77	50.7%	-4.48	-5.8%	15.56	60	100.0%
5	36	45.7%	-5.28	-14.7%	11.00	30	100.0%
6	19	38.9%	-5.86	-30.8%	6.82	18	100.0%
7	11	45.5%	-1.96	-17.8%	5.00	5	100.0%
8	6	33.3%	-2.22	-37.0%	4.00	4	100.0%
9	4	25.0%	-2.04	-51.0%	3.00	3	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-08-07 ~ 2022-05-22，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	55.0%	+12.46	+9.9%	6.11	12	100.0%
4	60	61.8%	+13.25	+22.1%	4.00	4	100.0%
5	33	72.4%	+12.38	+37.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	20	68.4%	+6.33	+31.6%	1.22	5	100.0%
7	13	53.8%	+0.72	+5.5%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	7	57.1%	+0.81	+11.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	4	25.0%	-1.68	-42.0%	2.50	3	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	45.0%	-17.14	-13.6%	20.22	84	100.0%
4	60	38.2%	-15.47	-25.8%	16.37	56	100.0%
5	33	27.6%	-13.51	-40.9%	13.51	33	100.0%
6	20	31.6%	-7.01	-35.1%	7.53	19	100.0%
7	13	46.2%	-1.01	-7.8%	2.57	7	100.0%
8	7	42.9%	-1.07	-15.4%	1.59	6	100.0%
9	4	75.0%	+1.43	+35.6%	1.00	1	100.0%

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-06 ~ 2023-06-04，共 760 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	60.0%	+28.83	+17.3%	5.00	5	100.0%
4	86	59.2%	+14.91	+17.3%	4.30	19	100.0%
5	45	55.3%	+4.44	+9.9%	4.46	16	100.0%
6	21	64.7%	+5.51	+26.2%	2.00	3	100.0%
7	10	75.0%	+4.31	+43.1%	1.50	3	100.0%
8	6	83.3%	+4.29	+71.5%	0.50	1	100.0%
9	5	80.0%	+3.20	+64.0%	0.50	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	167	40.0%	-36.51	-21.9%	38.06	150	100.0%
4	86	40.8%	-19.04	-22.1%	22.51	51	100.0%
5	45	44.7%	-6.62	-14.7%	11.74	18	100.0%
6	21	35.3%	-6.15	-29.3%	8.55	11	100.0%
7	10	25.0%	-4.64	-46.4%	6.00	7	100.0%
8	6	16.7%	-4.58	-76.2%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	5	20.0%	-3.58	-71.5%	4.00	4	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-08-12 ~ 2024-05-20，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	50.0%	-1.91	-1.5%	11.38	18	100.0%
4	55	44.9%	-4.91	-8.9%	6.17	11	100.0%
5	23	55.0%	+1.15	+5.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	12	50.0%	-0.61	-5.0%	1.48	3	100.0%
7	7	14.3%	-5.06	-72.3%	5.06	7	100.0%
8	1	0.0%	-0.50	-50.0%	0.50	1	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	50.0%	-3.83	-3.1%	15.27	78	100.0%
4	55	55.1%	+2.71	+4.9%	7.06	31	100.0%
5	23	45.0%	-1.95	-8.5%	4.84	16	100.0%
6	12	50.0%	+0.48	+4.0%	2.15	6	100.0%
7	7	85.7%	+4.98	+71.1%	0.50	1	100.0%
8	1	100.0%	+0.47	+47.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-17 ~ 2025-05-18，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	52.2%	+6.21	+5.0%	9.03	38	100.0%
4	61	52.7%	+3.59	+5.9%	8.37	29	100.0%
5	29	56.0%	+3.05	+10.5%	5.79	10	100.0%
6	14	66.7%	+3.39	+24.2%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	8	100.0%	+5.02	+62.8%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	6	100.0%	+3.31	+55.1%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	4	100.0%	+1.79	+44.8%	0.00	0	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	47.8%	-11.58	-9.3%	17.86	40	100.0%
4	61	47.3%	-6.35	-10.4%	11.80	25	100.0%
5	29	44.0%	-4.34	-15.0%	9.09	15	100.0%
6	14	33.3%	-4.04	-28.8%	7.00	10	100.0%
7	8	0.0%	-5.50	-68.8%	5.50	7	100.0%
8	6	0.0%	-3.50	-58.3%	3.50	5	100.0%
9	4	0.0%	-2.00	-50.0%	2.00	3	100.0%

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-16 ~ 2026-05-18，共 610 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	142	57.0%	+12.80	+9.0%	7.32	14	100.0%
4	78	55.3%	+4.93	+6.3%	4.18	27	100.0%
5	42	53.7%	+1.31	+3.1%	5.80	26	100.0%
6	22	50.0%	-0.54	-2.5%	7.15	15	100.0%
7	11	63.6%	+2.58	+23.5%	3.04	5	100.0%
8	7	71.4%	+2.66	+38.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	5	80.0%	+2.82	+56.4%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	142	43.0%	-22.20	-15.6%	28.20	128	100.0%
4	78	44.7%	-9.85	-12.6%	13.36	72	100.0%
5	42	46.3%	-3.74	-8.9%	6.14	10	100.0%
6	22	50.0%	-0.37	-1.7%	7.00	7	100.0%
7	11	36.4%	-3.18	-28.9%	6.00	6	100.0%
8	7	28.6%	-3.23	-46.1%	5.00	5	100.0%
9	5	20.0%	-3.15	-63.0%	4.00	4	100.0%