德乙亚盘回测报告 2016-2026

一、全局汇总

亚盘 — 顺追 (Follow)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1203	48.4%	-59.97	-5.0%	73.97	878	100.0%
4	544	44.7%	-58.49	-10.8%	65.41	497	100.0%
5	230	43.7%	-31.16	-13.5%	39.03	195	100.0%
6	94	52.8%	+2.02	+2.1%	9.52	33	100.0%
7	47	51.2%	-1.17	-2.5%	7.49	26	100.0%
8	22	47.6%	-1.80	-8.2%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	10	50.0%	-0.85	-8.5%	3.00	3	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追 (Fade)

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	1203	51.6%	+5.40	+0.4%	38.76	561	100.0%
4	544	55.3%	+36.09	+6.6%	13.00	36	100.0%
5	230	56.3%	+21.20	+9.2%	10.59	20	100.0%
6	94	47.2%	-6.19	-6.6%	10.92	77	100.0%
7	47	48.8%	-1.10	-2.3%	5.31	17	100.0%
8	22	52.4%	+0.59	+2.7%	3.63	12	100.0%
9	10	50.0%	+0.49	+4.9%	2.00	2	100.0%

二、跨赛季一览

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	+0.7%	+4.1%	-3.1%	-5.7%	-0.0%	-5.8%	-5.4%	-5.2%	-24.4%	-13.6%	-5.0%
4	+7.0%	-18.1%	-16.1%	-1.5%	-5.5%	-33.1%	+3.0%	-4.1%	-29.4%	-17.6%	-10.8%
5	+7.8%	-29.5%	-22.3%	-11.0%	-32.7%	-29.3%	+17.6%	-13.7%	-40.3%	-6.2%	-13.5%
6	+15.5%	+24.1%	-13.1%	-33.7%	+16.2%	-44.4%	+29.8%	+8.0%	-31.0%	-11.9%	+2.1%
7	+8.5%	+26.6%	+10.0%	-50.0%	-6.2%	-100.0%	+18.6%	-37.2%	-100.0%	+47.0%	-2.5%
8	-62.5%	+10.2%	-5.5%	—	-7.5%	—	+40.0%	-100.0%	—	+28.3%	-8.2%
9	—	+19.7%	-100.0%	—	-100.0%	—	+23.0%	—	—	-6.5%	-8.5%

亚盘反追 — 跨赛季ROI

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	全局
3	-4.9%	-9.2%	-1.8%	+1.6%	-3.9%	+1.3%	+1.5%	+1.4%	+19.5%	+8.1%	+0.4%
4	-11.0%	+14.1%	+11.5%	-2.3%	+2.0%	+28.6%	-7.3%	+0.8%	+25.9%	+12.4%	+6.6%
5	-13.1%	+26.4%	+18.4%	+4.5%	+27.2%	+26.8%	-23.4%	+10.5%	+37.2%	+3.7%	+9.2%
6	-22.6%	-26.8%	+10.0%	+26.9%	-25.5%	+42.1%	-34.2%	-9.8%	+33.0%	+9.3%	-6.6%
7	-14.5%	-30.7%	-12.7%	+46.5%	-0.8%	+100.3%	-24.6%	+31.5%	+97.0%	-52.0%	-2.3%
8	+58.5%	-13.0%	+3.5%	—	-2.5%	—	-48.0%	+94.0%	—	-36.0%	+2.7%
9	—	-17.7%	+107.0%	—	+95.0%	—	-30.7%	—	—	-4.0%	+4.9%

亚盘顺追 — 跨赛季注数

阈值	2016-17	2017-18	2018-19	2019-20	2020-21	2021-22	2022-23	2023-24	2024-25	2025-26	合计
3	129	144	134	106	126	124	108	117	92	114	1194
4	62	72	64	48	62	57	47	52	32	46	542
5	31	28	26	22	27	18	22	25	10	19	228
6	15	10	9	9	8	7	12	11	3	9	93
7	8	7	4	2	4	3	8	6	1	4	47
8	4	5	2	—	2	—	4	2	—	3	22
9	—	3	1	—	1	—	3	—	—	2	10

三、按赛季详细

2016-17 赛季 (2016-08-06 ~ 2017-05-30，共 614 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	129	50.4%	+0.89	+0.7%	11.72	44	100.0%
4	62	52.5%	+4.31	+7.0%	7.41	21	100.0%
5	31	53.6%	+2.41	+7.8%	5.00	6	100.0%
6	15	61.5%	+2.33	+15.5%	1.62	5	100.0%
7	8	57.1%	+0.68	+8.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	4	0.0%	-2.50	-62.5%	2.50	4	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	129	49.6%	-6.31	-4.9%	17.33	63	100.0%
4	62	47.5%	-6.81	-11.0%	13.00	36	100.0%
5	31	46.4%	-4.05	-13.1%	10.59	20	100.0%
6	15	38.5%	-3.39	-22.6%	5.09	13	100.0%
7	8	42.9%	-1.16	-14.5%	2.00	7	100.0%
8	4	100.0%	+2.34	+58.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2017-18 赛季 (2017-07-29 ~ 2018-05-22，共 614 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	53.5%	+5.89	+4.1%	10.50	33	100.0%
4	72	40.8%	-13.01	-18.1%	14.45	66	100.0%
5	28	37.0%	-8.25	-29.5%	8.26	28	100.0%
6	10	70.0%	+2.42	+24.1%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	7	71.4%	+1.86	+26.6%	1.16	3	100.0%
8	5	60.0%	+0.51	+10.2%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	3	66.7%	+0.59	+19.7%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	144	46.5%	-13.29	-9.2%	19.47	93	100.0%
4	72	59.2%	+10.14	+14.1%	5.36	12	100.0%
5	28	63.0%	+7.41	+26.4%	2.56	6	100.0%
6	10	30.0%	-2.68	-26.8%	4.53	8	100.0%
7	7	28.6%	-2.15	-30.7%	3.03	6	100.0%
8	5	40.0%	-0.65	-13.0%	2.50	3	100.0%
9	3	33.3%	-0.53	-17.7%	1.50	2	100.0%

2018-19 赛季 (2018-08-04 ~ 2019-05-19，共 612 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	134	48.4%	-4.20	-3.1%	11.42	82	100.0%
4	64	41.0%	-10.28	-16.1%	13.06	36	100.0%
5	26	37.5%	-5.79	-22.3%	8.06	21	100.0%
6	9	44.4%	-1.18	-13.1%	3.52	6	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	+0.40	+10.0%	1.50	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.11	-5.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	134	51.6%	-2.40	-1.8%	10.39	44	100.0%
4	64	59.0%	+7.38	+11.5%	4.62	12	100.0%
5	26	62.5%	+4.78	+18.4%	2.60	5	100.0%
6	9	55.6%	+0.90	+10.0%	2.50	3	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	-0.51	-12.7%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	+0.07	+3.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+1.07	+107.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2019-20 赛季 (2019-08-03 ~ 2020-07-12，共 602 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	106	49.0%	-6.05	-5.7%	8.58	98	100.0%
4	48	48.9%	-0.73	-1.5%	4.58	17	100.0%
5	22	45.0%	-2.41	-11.0%	4.61	9	100.0%
6	9	25.0%	-3.03	-33.7%	4.12	7	100.0%
7	2	0.0%	-1.00	-50.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	106	51.0%	+1.66	+1.6%	7.24	32	100.0%
4	48	51.1%	-1.09	-2.3%	5.95	15	100.0%
5	22	55.0%	+1.00	+4.5%	3.44	10	100.0%
6	9	75.0%	+2.42	+26.9%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	2	100.0%	+0.93	+46.5%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2020-21 赛季 (2020-09-19 ~ 2021-05-30，共 620 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	51.2%	-0.02	-0.0%	10.68	29	100.0%
4	62	48.3%	-3.39	-5.5%	12.16	28	100.0%
5	27	34.6%	-8.83	-32.7%	10.79	25	100.0%
6	8	62.5%	+1.30	+16.2%	3.00	3	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	-0.25	-6.2%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.15	-7.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	126	48.8%	-4.95	-3.9%	19.03	88	100.0%
4	62	51.7%	+1.21	+2.0%	10.06	16	100.0%
5	27	65.4%	+7.34	+27.2%	4.96	7	100.0%
6	8	37.5%	-2.04	-25.5%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	4	50.0%	-0.03	-0.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
8	2	50.0%	-0.05	-2.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	1	100.0%	+0.95	+95.0%	0.00	0	100.0%

2021-22 赛季 (2021-07-16 ~ 2022-05-25，共 620 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	47.9%	-7.19	-5.8%	11.79	88	100.0%
4	57	33.3%	-18.89	-33.1%	18.92	55	100.0%
5	18	35.3%	-5.27	-29.3%	5.27	18	100.0%
6	7	28.6%	-3.11	-44.4%	3.11	7	100.0%
7	3	0.0%	-3.00	-100.0%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	124	52.1%	+1.67	+1.3%	7.29	53	100.0%
4	57	66.7%	+16.30	+28.6%	4.02	7	100.0%
5	18	64.7%	+4.83	+26.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	7	71.4%	+2.95	+42.1%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	3	100.0%	+3.01	+100.3%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2022-23 赛季 (2022-08-06 ~ 2023-06-07，共 584 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	108	48.4%	-5.85	-5.4%	10.88	34	100.0%
4	47	53.7%	+1.39	+3.0%	4.54	12	100.0%
5	22	63.2%	+3.88	+17.6%	2.10	4	100.0%
6	12	70.0%	+3.57	+29.8%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	8	66.7%	+1.49	+18.6%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	4	75.0%	+1.60	+40.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	3	66.7%	+0.69	+23.0%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	108	51.6%	+1.61	+1.5%	13.48	34	100.0%
4	47	46.3%	-3.42	-7.3%	9.57	32	100.0%
5	22	36.8%	-5.15	-23.4%	7.06	16	100.0%
6	12	30.0%	-4.10	-34.2%	7.00	9	100.0%
7	8	33.3%	-1.97	-24.6%	4.00	6	100.0%
8	4	25.0%	-1.92	-48.0%	3.00	3	100.0%
9	3	33.3%	-0.92	-30.7%	2.00	2	100.0%

2023-24 赛季 (2023-07-29 ~ 2024-05-29，共 620 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	117	48.1%	-6.06	-5.2%	15.64	87	100.0%
4	52	49.0%	-2.13	-4.1%	8.97	14	100.0%
5	25	43.5%	-3.43	-13.7%	5.22	23	100.0%
6	11	54.5%	+0.88	+8.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
7	6	33.3%	-2.23	-37.2%	3.06	5	100.0%
8	2	0.0%	-2.00	-100.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	117	51.9%	+1.62	+1.4%	9.06	14	100.0%
4	52	51.0%	+0.41	+0.8%	7.62	32	100.0%
5	25	56.5%	+2.62	+10.5%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	11	45.5%	-1.08	-9.8%	3.12	7	100.0%
7	6	66.7%	+1.89	+31.5%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	2	100.0%	+1.88	+94.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2024-25 赛季 (2024-08-03 ~ 2025-05-28，共 620 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	92	37.3%	-22.44	-24.4%	27.84	81	100.0%
4	32	34.5%	-9.41	-29.4%	11.32	26	100.0%
5	10	30.0%	-4.03	-40.3%	5.14	7	100.0%
6	3	33.3%	-0.93	-31.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	1	0.0%	-1.00	-100.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	92	62.7%	+17.98	+19.5%	5.98	11	100.0%
4	32	65.5%	+8.29	+25.9%	3.06	5	100.0%
5	10	70.0%	+3.72	+37.2%	2.00	2	100.0%
6	3	66.7%	+0.99	+33.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
7	1	100.0%	+0.97	+97.0%	0.00	0	100.0%
8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

2025-26 赛季 (2025-08-02 ~ 2026-05-23，共 616 场)

亚盘 — 顺追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	114	43.9%	-15.46	-13.6%	18.77	81	100.0%
4	46	42.2%	-8.10	-17.6%	11.69	36	100.0%
5	19	47.4%	-1.17	-6.2%	4.01	6	100.0%
6	9	44.4%	-1.07	-11.9%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	4	75.0%	+1.88	+47.0%	1.00	1	100.0%
8	3	66.7%	+0.85	+28.3%	1.00	1	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.13	-6.5%	1.00	1	100.0%

亚盘 — 反追

阈值	投注	胜率	盈亏	ROI	最大回撤	回撤注	Crown%
3	114	56.1%	+9.23	+8.1%	8.55	21	100.0%
4	46	57.8%	+5.69	+12.4%	4.98	11	100.0%
5	19	52.6%	+0.71	+3.7%	4.12	6	100.0%
6	9	55.6%	+0.84	+9.3%	4.00	4	100.0%
7	4	25.0%	-2.08	-52.0%	3.00	3	100.0%
8	3	33.3%	-1.08	-36.0%	2.00	2	100.0%
9	2	50.0%	-0.08	-4.0%	1.00	1	100.0%